Observation #42170

← Research Observations / #42170

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$80,834.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,668,844,573

Synced: 10-18 17:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 15:00) Next (10-18 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 15:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000088%

Annualized0.77%

Premium-0.00049297

Settled at: 2026-10-18 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,664.94

OI (USD)$3,369,402,162

Mark price$80,869.00

Funding next0.000182%

Day vol (USD)$1,462,255,253

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.066%

Change 4h -0.997%

Change 24h +0.957%

Z-score 7d -0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000914%

Avg 24h 0.000502%

Percentile 7d 37.5%

Percentile 30d 27.8%

Δ 4h +0.000395%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.392%

Divergence 0.44

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.502

OI / Vol z-7d

0.84

OI momentum 4h

-2.540%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-18 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348176	fresh	20h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.555	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.34	7%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:15	↗
4h #355055	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.501	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 5b -1.0ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.68	37%	↓ -0.56	above_value	-1.82	—	#174538	—	—	—	—	18/10 12:00 upd 18/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #355054	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.511	normal	bear_low	45%	noisy_chop 44%	late 10b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.85	41%	↑ +0.47	above_value	-1.82	—	#174538	—	—	—	—	18/10 15:00 upd 18/10 16:05	↗
15m #354996	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.512	compression	bear_low_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 39%	late 7b -2.5ATR	—	—	1.78	91%	↑ +0.28	above_value	-1.82	—	#174538	—	—	—	—	18/10 15:45 upd 18/10 16:00	↗
5m #354995	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.539	volatile_reversal	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 1b -1.9ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.39	92%	↑ +0.71	above_value	-1.82	—	#174538	—	—	—	—	18/10 15:55 upd 18/10 16:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210092	fresh	2026-10-18 15:00	0s	0.614	0.457	3/68	2026-10-18 16:00	2026-10-18 16:35
4h #210156	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	0s	0.520	0.433	10/68	2026-10-18 16:00	2026-10-18 16:37
1d #208504	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	20h	0.496	0.507	10/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174602	fresh	2026-10-18 15:45	0s	$81,136.57	$81,661.20	$80,776.28	lvn LVN	-2.17	6.35
7d #174669	fresh	2026-10-18 15:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,092.87	$80,801.37	value	-2.91	8.07
30d #174736	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	0s	$83,504.76	$86,245.66	$82,182.68	between	-3.29	5.67

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$80,751.00 → $80,953.27	0.25%	1.45	0.39	continuation_down	—	inside	+0.00
below	$82,002.53 → $82,268.00	0.32%	1.90	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,168.52	-8.38

Prix observé : $80,834.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.23	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $185.40	+0.65
below	$84,009.47 → $84,315.00	0.36%	1.08	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,175.47	-11.19

Prix observé : $80,834.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.53	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $5.6417	+0.01
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.17	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,798.61	-8.09

Prix observé : $80,834.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	16:05	16:20	-0.08%	-0.21×	+0.14×	-0.67×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.08%	7.09%	0.29%	$55.01M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	16:05	17:05	+0.14%	+0.41×	+0.64×	-0.67×	1h	15m	Low first	0.25	0.00%	+0.14%	20.01%	0.47%	$165.30M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	16:05	20:05	+1.49%	+4.20×	+4.72×	-0.67×	3h30m	15m	Low first	0.42	0.00%	+1.49%	34.95%	1.91%	$664.18M	17:50 / 18:00	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	16:05	04:05	+2.22%	+6.26×	+8.04×	-0.67×	11h30m	15m	Low first	0.22	0.00%	+2.22%	32.03%	3.09%	$1.29B	17:50 / 18:00	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	16:05	16:05	+1.34%	+3.78×	+8.04×	-0.67×	11h30m	15m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+1.34%	34.25%	3.09%	$2.45B	17:50 / 18:00	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}