Observation #42238

← Research Observations / #42238

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.245400

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $11,851,928

Synced: 10-18 17:02 +1h

← Prev (10-18 15:00) Next (10-18 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 15:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00007464

Settled at: 2026-10-18 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)82,360,260.00

OI (USD)$20,305,922

Mark price$0.246550

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$11,791,458

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 15:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348321	fresh	20h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 45%	—	—	—	0.28	2%	↓ -0.43	value	-3.20	—	#171738	—	bull_high	+5.98%	-1.00	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:23	↗
4h #355190	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.748	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 50%	late 18b -3.6ATR	—	—	2.09	52%	↔ -0.03	below_value	-5.59	inside	#174734	—	bear_high	-2.26%	-0.99	18/10 12:00 upd 18/10 16:16	↗
1h anchor #355188	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.750	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	49%	choppy 49%	late 14b -3.8ATR	—	—	3.38	94%	↑ +0.76	below_value	-5.59	inside	#174734	0.48	bear_low_confirmed	-1.19%	-0.89	18/10 15:00 upd 18/10 16:16	↗
15m #354991	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.499	compression	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 48%	late 18b -3.7ATR	—	—	4.81	100%	↔ +0.10	below_value	-4.96	—	#174600	0.52	bear_low_confirmed	-0.83%	-0.46	18/10 15:30 upd 18/10 15:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210154	fresh	2026-10-18 15:00	0s	0.428	0.000	58/68	2026-10-18 16:00	2026-10-18 16:37
4h #210218	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	0s	0.214	0.000	63/68	2026-10-18 16:00	2026-10-18 16:38
1d #208566	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	20h	0.100	0.006	64/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174667	fresh	2026-10-18 15:45	0s	$0.280723	$0.289716	$0.256256	between	-10.57	10.01
7d #174734	fresh	2026-10-18 15:00	0s	$0.284823	$0.335201	$0.277626	lvn LVN	-5.59	8.30
30d #174801	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	0s	$0.624509	$0.740760	$0.394045	lvn LVN	-22.45	21.00

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.264621 → $0.270895	2.34%	1.88	0.65	reversion	✓	↓ $0.019221	-5.75
below	$0.287625 → $0.293480	2.02%	1.75	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.042225	-12.63

Prix observé : $0.245400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.245000 → $0.252677	3.09%	1.11	0.84	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.257475 → $0.273788	6.14%	2.35	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.012075	-1.74
below	$0.355352 → $0.360150	1.34%	0.69	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.109952	-15.85

Prix observé : $0.245400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.251280 → $0.275754	9.29%	1.48	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.005880	-0.36
below	$0.434835 → $0.504178	14.77%	4.20	0.77	reversion	✓	↓ $0.189435	-11.47
below	$0.712207 → $0.740760	3.93%	1.73	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.466807	-28.27

Prix observé : $0.245400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T19:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}