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← Research Observations / #42311
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-18 18:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
17:00–18:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
18:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
19:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.179560
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $9,793,275
Synced: 10-18 19:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-18 17:00) Next (10-18 19:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.0261
evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 17:46:01 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00008962
Settled at: 2026-10-18 18:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)87,343,217.00
OI (USD)$15,642,297
Mark price$0.179090
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$9,166,341
Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.259%
Change 4h -4.113%
Change 24h -9.705%
Z-score 7d -0.13
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000774%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 93.6%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.045%
Divergence 1.25
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
1.611
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.09
OI momentum 4h
-2.858%
Funding +ratio 24h
84.0%
Sign streak
+6
Time: 2026-10-18 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#348200
 fresh 22h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.699 compression bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 40% early 24b -0.6ATR — — 0.55 75% ↓ -0.20 below_value -6.86 — #171682 0.58 bull_high +5.98% -0.95
16/10 20:00
upd 17/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#355068
 fresh 2h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.352 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 45% late 14b -1.8ATR near 0.3ATR — 1.30 54% ↓ -0.57 below_value -5.34 — #174675 0.41 bear_high -2.26% +0.10
18/10 12:00
upd 18/10 16:11
 ↗
1h anchor
#355804
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.409 expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% early 2b -0.5ATR — near 0.2ATR 1.21 63% ↑ +0.61 value -3.78 — #175016 0.75 range_low -0.72% -0.06
18/10 17:00
upd 18/10 18:09
 ↗
15m
#355742
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.365 expansion bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% early 8b 0.8ATR — near -0.1ATR 0.58 75% ↔ -0.10 below_value -4.95 — #174876 0.70 range_low -0.25% -0.08
18/10 17:45
upd 18/10 18:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#210302
 fresh 2026-10-18 17:00 0s 0.540 0.435 22/65 2026-10-18 18:00 2026-10-18 18:35
4h
#210162
 fresh 2026-10-18 12:00 2h 0.426 0.272 26/68 2026-10-18 16:00 2026-10-18 16:37
1d
#208510
 fresh 2026-10-16 20:00 22h 0.318 0.366 48/64 2026-10-17 20:00 2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#174946
 fresh 2026-10-18 17:45 0s $0.179507 $0.184011 $0.178551 hvn 0.04 3.86
7d
#175016
 fresh 2026-10-18 17:00 0s $0.189275 $0.196689 $0.178627 value -3.78 7.02
30d
#174742
 fresh 2026-10-18 12:00 2h $0.202051 $0.231585 $0.191418 between -4.00 7.19

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.174820 → $0.175730 0.52% 0.64 0.65 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.003830 +2.71
above $0.177368 → $0.178187 0.46% 0.58 0.55 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.001373 +0.97
below $0.184739 → $0.185740 0.54% 0.71 0.51 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.005179 -3.66

Prix observé : $0.179560. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.170000 → $0.172965 1.73% 1.15 0.62 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006595 +2.56
above $0.176200 → $0.178627 1.37% 0.94 0.30 continuation_down — ↑ $0.000933 +0.36
below $0.199924 → $0.202350 1.21% 0.94 0.41 continuation_up — ↓ $0.020364 -7.92

Prix observé : $0.179560. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.161490 → $0.177242 9.30% 2.82 0.82 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.002318 +0.41
below $0.248124 → $0.256000 3.12% 1.41 0.68 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.068564 -12.27

Prix observé : $0.179560. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T21:46:01+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 839,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}