Observation #42318

← Research Observations / #42318

🪙 XRP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XRP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.2750

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $52,479,863

Synced: 10-18 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 17:00) Next (10-18 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XRP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0261

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 17:46:01 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00035180

Settled at: 2026-10-18 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)171,551,944.00

OI (USD)$218,522,866

Mark price$1.2738

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$45,330,426

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.088%

Change 4h +0.256%

Change 24h -2.106%

Z-score 7d 0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000100%

Avg 24h 0.000444%

Percentile 7d 27.4%

Percentile 30d 6.8%

Δ 4h -0.001150%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.196%

Divergence 0.09

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.824

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.29

OI momentum 4h

+0.683%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-18 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348222	fresh	22h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.570	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 40%	late 24b -1.8ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.54	63%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-7.99	—	#171689	0.87	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.84	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:18	↗
4h #355082	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.624	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	late 14b -2.5ATR	near -2.5ATR	—	1.52	57%	↔ -0.00	below_value	-11.59	inside	#174682	0.80	bear_high	-2.26%	-0.34	18/10 12:00 upd 18/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #355812	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.374	expansion	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 42%	early 2b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.15	67%	↑ +0.75	below_value	-9.69	—	#175023	0.88	range_low	-0.72%	-0.12	18/10 17:00 upd 18/10 18:09	↗
15m #355750	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.264	expansion_after_compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 8b 1.0ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.75	79%	↑ +0.26	below_value	-11.24	—	#174884	0.84	range_low	-0.25%	+0.01	18/10 17:45 upd 18/10 18:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210309	fresh	2026-10-18 17:00	0s	0.562	0.449	11/65	2026-10-18 18:00	2026-10-18 18:35
4h #210169	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	2h	0.495	0.280	11/68	2026-10-18 16:00	2026-10-18 16:37
1d #208517	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	22h	0.345	0.305	38/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174954	fresh	2026-10-18 17:45	0s	$1.2972	$1.3040	$1.2698	value	-4.24	6.54
7d #175023	fresh	2026-10-18 17:00	0s	$1.3650	$1.3795	$1.3009	between	-9.69	8.46
30d #174749	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	2h	$1.5088	$1.6152	$1.4287	lvn LVN	-11.75	9.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$1.2817 → $1.2879	0.48%	1.18	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $0.006747	-1.29
below	$1.3015 → $1.3048	0.25%	0.63	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.026507	-5.07

Prix observé : $1.2750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.2554 → $1.2678	0.98%	1.34	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007188	+0.77
below	$1.2775 → $1.2830	0.43%	0.59	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002467	-0.27
below	$1.3933 → $1.4044	0.79%	1.19	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.118317	-12.73
below	$1.4085 → $1.4209	0.88%	1.34	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.133488	-14.36

Prix observé : $1.2750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.2683 → $1.2912	1.79%	1.15	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.6054 → $1.6610	3.41%	2.79	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.330368	-16.59

Prix observé : $1.2750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T21:46:01+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 839,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}