Observation #42372

← Research Observations / #42372

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,736.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,928,325,857

Synced: 10-18 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 18:00) Next (10-18 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7291

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 18:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001161%

Annualized10.17%

Premium-0.00040709

Settled at: 2026-10-18 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,341.92

OI (USD)$3,217,421,838

Mark price$81,781.00

Funding next0.001140%

Day vol (USD)$1,803,145,880

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -1.746%

Change 4h -3.900%

Change 24h -3.225%

Z-score 7d -2.55 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001239%

Avg 24h 0.000452%

Percentile 7d 51.2%

Percentile 30d 37.4%

Δ 4h +0.000433%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.707%

Divergence 4.14 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.047

OI / Vol z-7d

0.39

OI momentum 4h

-3.689%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-18 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348176	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.555	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.34	7%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:15	↗
4h #355055	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.501	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 5b -1.0ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.68	37%	↓ -0.56	above_value	-1.82	—	#174538	—	—	—	—	18/10 12:00 upd 18/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #356126	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.659	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 2b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	3.30	95%	↑ +0.82	above_value	-1.61	—	#175010	—	—	—	—	18/10 18:00 upd 18/10 19:05	↗
15m #356067	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.574	expansion_after_compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 40%	late 10b 2.3ATR	—	—	0.98	92%	↑ +0.40	above_value	-1.61	—	#175010	—	—	—	—	18/10 18:45 upd 18/10 19:00	↗
5m #356066	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.335	expansion	range_low	39%	ranging_calm 53%	late 27b 2.1ATR	—	—	0.52	69%	↑ +0.44	above_value	-1.61	—	#175010	—	—	—	—	18/10 18:55 upd 18/10 19:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210361	fresh	2026-10-18 18:00	0s	0.682	0.516	10/67	2026-10-18 19:00	2026-10-18 19:35
4h #210156	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	3h	0.520	0.433	10/68	2026-10-18 16:00	2026-10-18 16:37
1d #208504	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	23h	0.496	0.507	10/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #175075	fresh	2026-10-18 18:45	0s	$81,137.97	$81,659.00	$80,779.33	between	3.28	4.83
7d #175140	fresh	2026-10-18 18:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,016.48	$80,763.18	hvn	0.24	7.14
30d #174736	fresh	2026-10-18 12:00	3h	$83,504.76	$86,245.66	$82,182.68	between	-3.29	5.67

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,644.00 → $80,765.80	0.15%	0.67	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $970.20	+5.33
below	$82,010.87 → $82,268.00	0.31%	1.41	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $274.87	-1.51

Prix observé : $81,736.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,572.22	1.05%	2.66	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,163.78	+3.69
below	$84,009.47 → $84,315.00	0.36%	0.97	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,273.47	-7.20

Prix observé : $81,736.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.53	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $907.64	+1.27
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.17	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,896.61	-6.83

Prix observé : $81,736.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	19:05	19:20	+0.05%	+0.12×	+0.12×	-0.21×	15m	15m	Tied	0.45	0.00%	+0.05%	7.85%	0.13%	$19.45M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	19:05	20:05	+0.37%	+0.91×	+1.37×	-0.21×	30m	15m	Low first	0.47	0.00%	+0.37%	35.33%	0.63%	$117.55M	19:25 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	19:05	23:05	+1.04%	+2.58×	+3.16×	-0.21×	3h50m	15m	Low first	0.29	0.00%	+1.04%	33.31%	1.36%	$479.02M	19:25 / 20:40	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	19:05	07:05	+0.73%	+1.80×	+4.24×	-0.21×	8h30m	15m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+0.73%	33.75%	1.80%	$1.00B	19:25 / 20:40	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	19:05	19:05	+0.42%	+1.05×	+4.24×	-0.21×	8h30m	15m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.42%	32.63%	1.80%	$2.02B	19:25 / 20:40	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}