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← Research Observations / #42425
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-18 19:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
18:00–19:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
19:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
20:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.076435
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $10,608,428
Synced: 10-18 20:02 +1h
← Prev (10-18 18:00) Next (10-18 20:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.7291
evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 18:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00032692
Settled at: 2026-10-18 19:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)736,499,984.00
OI (USD)$56,294,376
Mark price$0.076435
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$10,189,792
Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.003%
Change 4h +2.735%
Change 24h +0.641%
Z-score 7d -0.05
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001194%
Percentile 7d 98.8% top
Percentile 30d 82.8%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +1.534%
Divergence -0.23
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
5.663
OI / Vol z-7d
0.02
OI momentum 4h
+4.186%
Funding +ratio 24h
96.0%
Sign streak
+3
Time: 2026-10-18 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#348297
 fresh 23h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.387 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late 22b -1.4ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.54 56% ↓ -0.54 value -1.61 — #171726 0.54 bull_high +5.98% -0.99
16/10 20:00
upd 17/10 20:22
 ↗
4h
#355156
 fresh 3h ↓ down range range strong grind 0.452 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 46% late 18b -3.1ATR — — 1.37 66% ↓ -0.68 below_value -6.77 inside #174722 0.55 bear_high -2.26% -0.49
18/10 12:00
upd 18/10 16:15
 ↗
1h anchor
#356178
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive 0.302 expansion_after_compression bear_high
64%
noisy_chop 48% mid 3b -0.4ATR — — 1.57 79% ↑ +0.87 below_value -4.11 — #175191 0.63 range_low -0.05% -0.31
18/10 18:00
upd 18/10 19:10
 ↗
15m
#356116
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.382 normal bear_medium
65%
noisy_chop 47% late 13b 1.9ATR — — 0.33 82% ↓ -0.72 below_value -6.01 — #175061 0.67 range_low +0.39% +0.04
18/10 18:45
upd 18/10 19:02
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#210412
 fresh 2026-10-18 18:00 0s 0.563 0.371 44/67 2026-10-18 19:00 2026-10-18 19:36
4h
#210206
 fresh 2026-10-18 12:00 3h 0.358 0.097 44/68 2026-10-18 16:00 2026-10-18 16:38
1d
#208554
 fresh 2026-10-16 20:00 23h 0.228 0.160 58/64 2026-10-17 20:00 2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#175126
 fresh 2026-10-18 18:45 0s $0.075674 $0.076747 $0.073092 value 1.42 6.81
7d
#175191
 fresh 2026-10-18 18:00 0s $0.080504 $0.085668 $0.078231 lvn LVN -4.11 7.00
30d
#174789
 fresh 2026-10-18 12:00 3h $0.095869 $0.107953 $0.079546 lvn LVN -9.02 12.31

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
below $0.077559 → $0.078488 1.19% 1.73 0.65 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.001124 -2.09
below $0.079416 → $0.079822 0.51% 0.76 0.59 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.002981 -5.56

Prix observé : $0.076435. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.072860 → $0.074926 2.80% 1.94 0.77 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.001509 +1.42
above $0.075752 → $0.076303 0.72% 0.52 0.64 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.000132 +0.12
below $0.087046 → $0.087597 0.63% 0.52 0.61 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.010611 -9.98
below $0.088423 → $0.089387 1.08% 0.91 0.89 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.011988 -11.28

Prix observé : $0.076435. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $0.074882 → $0.079122 5.51% 1.84 0.66 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00
below $0.117280 → $0.125760 6.98% 3.68 0.71 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.040845 -17.70

Prix observé : $0.076435. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}