Observation #42712

← Research Observations / #42712

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,488.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,138,521,751

Synced: 10-19 01:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 23:00) Next (10-19 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6667

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 23:46:01 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001198%

Annualized10.49%

Premium-0.00040420

Settled at: 2026-10-19 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,600.92

OI (USD)$3,265,808,901

Mark price$82,468.00

Funding next0.001234%

Day vol (USD)$2,113,425,551

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 23:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.211%

Change 4h +0.358%

Change 24h -3.884%

Z-score 7d -0.32

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001233%

Avg 24h 0.000606%

Percentile 7d 49.4%

Percentile 30d 37.5%

Δ 4h +0.000072%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.498%

Divergence 0.55

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.555

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.08

OI momentum 4h

+5.640%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-18 23:00:00 OI observed: 22:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 23:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #357930	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.623	compression	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 1b 1.3ATR	—	—	1.22	65%	↔ +0.13	value	+2.93	—	#175743	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #357929	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.632	volatile_reversal	bull_low	33%	noisy_chop 47%	late 7b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.21	16%	↑ +0.46	value	+2.93	—	#175743	—	—	—	—	18/10 23:00 upd 19/10 00:05	↗
15m #357867	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.609	compression	bull_low	47%	noisy_chop 41%	early 4b 1.3ATR	—	—	0.28	44%	↓ -0.47	value	+2.93	—	#175743	—	—	—	—	18/10 23:45 upd 19/10 00:00	↗
5m #357866	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.614	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 13b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.15	11%	↓ -0.51	value	+2.93	—	#175743	—	—	—	—	18/10 23:55 upd 19/10 00:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #210829	fresh	2026-10-18 23:00	0s	0.545	0.516	14/69	2026-10-19 00:00	2026-10-19 00:35
4h #210897	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	0s	0.566	0.517	9/69	2026-10-19 00:00	2026-10-19 00:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	4h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #175812	fresh	2026-10-18 23:45	0s	$81,133.96	$81,998.07	$80,768.72	between	7.74	7.03
7d #175881	fresh	2026-10-18 23:00	0s	$81,660.68	$82,863.72	$80,763.18	hvn	2.41	6.12
30d #175950	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	0s	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,086.33	value	-1.14	4.89

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,644.00 → $80,768.72	0.15%	0.71	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,719.28	+9.83
above	$82,229.68 → $82,372.22	0.17%	0.82	0.48	continuation_up	—	↑ $115.78	+0.66
below	$82,568.20 → $82,782.00	0.26%	1.22	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $80.2000	-0.46

Prix observé : $82,488.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,495.83	0.95%	2.22	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,992.17	+5.80
below	$83,933.08 → $84,315.00	0.45%	1.11	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,445.08	-4.21

Prix observé : $82,488.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.38	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,659.64	+2.10
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.06	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,144.61	-5.23

Prix observé : $82,488.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	00:05	00:20	-0.02%	-0.04×	+0.08×	-0.05×	5m	15m	High first	0.45	0.00%	-0.02%	8.06%	0.05%	$5.30M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	00:05	01:05	+0.08%	+0.19×	+1.12×	-0.05×	45m	15m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.08%	38.78%	0.49%	$45.79M	00:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	00:05	04:05	+0.20%	+0.47×	+1.94×	-0.05×	3h30m	15m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.20%	31.94%	0.84%	$208.02M	00:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	00:05	12:05	-0.72%	-1.70×	+1.94×	-2.14×	3h30m	10h	High first	0.06	0.00%	-0.72%	37.33%	1.72%	$1.07B	00:45 / —	06:30 / 10:00	—	100%
1d	computed	00:05	00:05	-0.36%	-0.86×	+1.94×	-3.71×	3h30m	21h10m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.36%	33.06%	2.39%	$1.88B	00:45 / —	06:30 / 10:00	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T03:46:01+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 839,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T03:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}