Observation #42902

← Research Observations / #42902

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.074949

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,588,705

Synced: 10-19 03:01 +1h

← Prev (10-19 01:00) Next (10-19 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5621

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 01:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000129

Settled at: 2026-10-19 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)69,497,772.00

OI (USD)$5,216,294

Mark price$0.075057

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,255,258

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 01:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.002%

Change 4h +0.023%

Change 24h -0.064%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 75.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.708%

Divergence -0.43

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.178

OI / Vol z-7d

1.42

OI momentum 4h

-1.110%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1209 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 163 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356691	fresh	6h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.473	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	early 13b -0.5ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.38	75%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-5.41	—	#175321	0.29	bull_high	+6.65%	-0.83	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:22	↗
4h #358030	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.532	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 10b -1.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.25	14%	↓ -0.46	below_value	-7.21	—	#175931	0.18	range_high	-0.24%	-0.86	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 00:15	↗
1h anchor #358736	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.534	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 50%	mid 7b -1.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.50	21%	↓ -0.55	below_value	-8.28	—	#176279	0.28	bull_medium	+1.03%	-0.58	19/10 01:00 upd 19/10 02:11	↗
15m #358672	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.498	normal	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 46%	early 2b -0.7ATR	—	—	2.57	65%	↑ +0.55	below_value	-7.95	—	#176140	0.34	bull_low	+1.05%	-0.31	19/10 01:45 upd 19/10 02:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211087	fresh	2026-10-19 01:00	0s	0.369	0.239	65/68	2026-10-19 02:00	2026-10-19 02:36
4h #210947	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	2h	0.217	0.260	68/69	2026-10-19 00:00	2026-10-19 00:38
1d #210612	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	6h	0.353	0.378	35/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #176210	fresh	2026-10-19 01:45	0s	$0.077367	$0.078519	$0.072869	value	-4.67	10.91
7d #176279	fresh	2026-10-19 01:00	0s	$0.086021	$0.091805	$0.079606	between	-8.28	8.83
30d #176000	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	2h	$0.087621	$0.117536	$0.076782	between	-2.69	8.97

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072869 → $0.073166	0.41%	0.57	0.43	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.001783	+3.45
below	$0.075620 → $0.075991	0.49%	0.72	0.41	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.000671	-1.30
below	$0.076066 → $0.076437	0.49%	0.72	0.49	continuation_down	—	↓ $0.001117	-2.16
below	$0.080749 → $0.081790	1.28%	2.01	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005800	-11.20

Prix observé : $0.074949. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070773 → $0.073297	3.50%	1.83	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001652	+1.20
below	$0.092646 → $0.096011	3.57%	2.44	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.017697	-12.81

Prix observé : $0.074949. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.045565 → $0.063775	33.31%	4.01	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011174	+2.46
above	$0.068977 → $0.072446	4.91%	0.76	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002503	+0.55
below	$0.145284 → $0.149620	2.94%	0.95	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.070335	-15.47

Prix observé : $0.074949. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T05:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T05:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}