Observation #42919

← Research Observations / #42919

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,826.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,266,538,505

Synced: 10-19 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-19 02:00) Next (10-19 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6154

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 02:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001144%

Annualized10.02%

Premium-0.00040848

Settled at: 2026-10-19 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,598.57

OI (USD)$3,277,335,927

Mark price$82,764.00

Funding next0.001164%

Day vol (USD)$2,168,349,153

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.179%

Change 4h +0.157%

Change 24h -3.297%

Z-score 7d 0.21

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000861%

Avg 24h 0.000671%

Percentile 7d 32.7%

Percentile 30d 26.7%

Δ 4h -0.000389%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.172%

Divergence 0.24

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.530

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.09

OI momentum 4h

+1.099%

Funding +ratio 24h

88.0%

Sign streak

+9 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #357930	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.623	compression	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 1b 1.3ATR	—	—	1.22	65%	↔ +0.13	value	+2.93	—	#175743	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #359026	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.695	expansion	bull_low	47%	noisy_chop 44%	late 10b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.45	37%	↔ -0.04	value	+3.11	—	#176228	—	—	—	—	19/10 02:00 upd 19/10 03:05	↗
15m #358964	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.573	compression	bull_low	46%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 7b 2.1ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	0.45	35%	↓ -0.39	value	+3.11	—	#176228	—	—	—	—	19/10 02:45 upd 19/10 03:00	↗
5m #358963	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	fading	0.387	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 6b 1.6ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.09	29%	↔ +0.08	value	+3.11	—	#176228	—	—	—	—	19/10 02:55 upd 19/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211104	fresh	2026-10-19 02:00	0s	0.539	0.539	20/68	2026-10-19 03:00	2026-10-19 03:35
4h #210897	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	3h	0.566	0.517	9/69	2026-10-19 00:00	2026-10-19 00:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	7h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #176297	fresh	2026-10-19 02:45	0s	$81,136.68	$82,075.56	$80,736.96	lvn LVN	11.38	9.02
7d #176366	fresh	2026-10-19 02:00	0s	$81,657.44	$82,849.38	$80,795.58	value	3.52	6.18
30d #175950	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	3h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,086.33	value	-1.14	4.89

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,644.00 → $80,755.55	0.14%	0.75	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,070.45	+13.95
above	$81,796.68 → $81,871.05	0.09%	0.50	0.50	reversion	—	↑ $954.95	+6.43
above	$82,224.29 → $82,354.43	0.16%	0.88	0.47	reversion	—	↑ $471.57	+3.18
above	$82,596.13 → $82,670.49	0.09%	0.50	0.45	continuation_up	—	↑ $155.51	+1.05
inside	$82,763.45 → $82,875.00	0.13%	0.75	0.69	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $82,826.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,575.53	1.05%	2.54	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,250.48	+6.77
below	$83,876.28 → $84,133.00	0.31%	0.77	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,050.27	-3.16

Prix observé : $82,826.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.38	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,997.64	+2.52
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.06	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,806.61	-4.81

Prix observé : $82,826.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.01%	-0.02×	+0.03×	-0.24×	5m	15m	High first	0.07	0.00%	-0.01%	32.92%	0.11%	$10.78M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	-0.28%	-0.67×	+0.82×	-0.67×	30m	1h	High first	0.26	0.00%	-0.28%	48.18%	0.62%	$83.54M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	-0.64%	-1.54×	+0.82×	-2.29×	30m	3h30m	High first	0.14	0.00%	-0.64%	42.46%	1.29%	$343.92M	— / —	06:20 / 06:30	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	-1.08%	-2.61×	+0.82×	-3.32×	30m	7h	High first	0.09	0.00%	-1.08%	37.28%	1.71%	$1.20B	— / —	06:20 / 06:30	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	-1.25%	-3.03×	+0.82×	-4.92×	30m	18h10m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.25%	32.62%	2.37%	$1.92B	— / —	06:20 / 06:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T06:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}