Observation #43020

← Research Observations / #43020

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.296950

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,789,272

Synced: 10-19 05:01 +1h

← Prev (10-19 03:00) Next (10-19 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8269

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 03:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003570%

Annualized-31.27%

Premium-0.00078561

Settled at: 2026-10-19 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)33,082,136.00

OI (USD)$9,832,011

Mark price$0.297200

Funding next-0.003707%

Day vol (USD)$1,785,350

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 03:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.237%

Change 4h +0.888%

Change 24h +0.349%

Z-score 7d 0.37

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002721%

Avg 24h -0.001416%

Percentile 7d 21.4%

Percentile 30d 6.5%

Δ 4h +0.000124%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.014%

Divergence 0.09

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.788

OI / Vol z-7d

0.90

OI momentum 4h

+1.086%

Funding +ratio 24h

20.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-19 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 165 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356653	fresh	8h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.444	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.22	26%	↓ -0.43	below_value	-6.72	inside	#175302	0.58	bull_high	+6.65%	-0.79	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:20	↗
4h #359430	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.631	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.30	29%	↓ -0.42	above_value	-4.83	—	#176535	0.50	range_high	+0.01%	-0.45	19/10 00:00 upd 19/10 04:13	↗
1h anchor #359429	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.643	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 46%	late 12b 2.1ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	1.46	58%	↑ +0.22	above_value	-4.83	—	#176535	0.60	bull_medium	+0.97%	+0.17	19/10 03:00 upd 19/10 04:13	↗
15m #359334	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	weak	grind	0.469	compression	bull_medium_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 10b 2.2ATR	—	—	0.77	82%	↔ -0.12	value	-5.38	—	#176398	0.75	bull_low	+0.86%	+0.09	19/10 03:45 upd 19/10 04:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211204	fresh	2026-10-19 03:00	0s	0.603	0.543	6/67	2026-10-19 04:00	2026-10-19 04:36
4h #211271	fresh	2026-10-19 00:00	0s	0.472	0.351	29/67	2026-10-19 04:00	2026-10-19 04:38
1d #210592	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	8h	0.338	0.413	39/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #176467	fresh	2026-10-19 03:45	0s	$0.294465	$0.298650	$0.281714	lvn LVN	1.90	12.96
7d #176535	fresh	2026-10-19 03:00	0s	$0.310863	$0.328121	$0.289378	hvn	-4.83	13.45
30d #176603	fresh	2026-10-19 00:00	0s	$0.330329	$0.355315	$0.298205	between	-4.21	7.02

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.285023 → $0.287165	0.75%	1.64	0.54	reversion	✓	↑ $0.009785	+7.49
above	$0.291447 → $0.293199	0.60%	1.34	0.71	reversion	✓	↑ $0.003751	+2.87
inside	$0.296119 → $0.297287	0.39%	0.89	0.69	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.296950. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.275290 → $0.287970	4.50%	4.40	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008980	+3.12
below	$0.343618 → $0.348549	1.42%	1.71	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.046668	-16.20
below	$0.357707 → $0.359820	0.59%	0.73	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.060757	-21.09

Prix observé : $0.296950. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.265570 → $0.279848	5.24%	1.75	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.017102	+2.10
above	$0.281887 → $0.285967	1.44%	0.50	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.010983	+1.35
below	$0.375712 → $0.387950	3.21%	1.50	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.078762	-9.67

Prix observé : $0.296950. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T07:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T07:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}