Observation #43128

← Research Observations / #43128

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.7563

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,496,418

Synced: 10-19 07:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-19 05:00) Next (10-19 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6164

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 05:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000694%

Annualized6.08%

Premium-0.00044445

Settled at: 2026-10-19 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,130,912.52

OI (USD)$20,814,327

Mark price$9.7678

Funding next0.000588%

Day vol (USD)$4,343,462

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.002%

Change 4h -0.156%

Change 24h -3.016%

Z-score 7d 0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000756%

Avg 24h -0.000647%

Percentile 7d 67.9%

Percentile 30d 23.5%

Δ 4h -0.000144%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.042%

Divergence -0.13

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.686

OI / Vol z-7d

0.37

OI momentum 4h

-0.230%

Funding +ratio 24h

44.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356586	fresh	10h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.471	normal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 35%	early 19b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.35	58%	↓ -0.69	value	-4.72	—	#175275	0.71	bull_high	+6.65%	-0.57	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:16	↗
4h #359372	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.493	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.30	2%	↔ -0.07	value	-5.59	—	#176506	0.60	range_high	+0.01%	-0.31	19/10 00:00 upd 19/10 04:11	↗
1h anchor #360114	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.341	compression	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 36%	late 14b 0.5ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.25	9%	↓ -0.79	value	-6.06	—	#176847	0.74	bull_medium	+0.95%	-0.02	19/10 05:00 upd 19/10 06:09	↗
15m #360050	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	weak	compressed	0.351	compression	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 41%	early 9b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.39	9%	↑ +0.41	value	-5.99	—	#176710	0.79	range_low	+0.73%	-0.01	19/10 05:45 upd 19/10 06:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211376	fresh	2026-10-19 05:00	0s	0.481	0.482	47/68	2026-10-19 06:00	2026-10-19 06:35
4h #211242	fresh	2026-10-19 00:00	2h	0.434	0.387	43/67	2026-10-19 04:00	2026-10-19 04:37
1d #210565	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	10h	0.376	0.442	29/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #176778	fresh	2026-10-19 05:45	0s	$9.7677	$9.8356	$9.4028	hvn	-0.35	13.41
7d #176847	fresh	2026-10-19 05:00	0s	$10.2787	$10.4204	$9.6298	value	-6.06	9.17
30d #176574	fresh	2026-10-19 00:00	2h	$11.0492	$11.4690	$10.3399	between	-5.43	4.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.2568 → $9.3021	0.49%	1.40	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.454200	+14.07
above	$9.4581 → $9.4783	0.21%	0.62	0.78	reversion	✓	↑ $0.278033	+8.61
above	$9.6796 → $9.7199	0.42%	1.25	0.74	reversion	✓	↑ $0.036433	+1.13
below	$9.8155 → $9.8608	0.46%	1.40	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.059200	-1.83

Prix observé : $9.7563. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.2568 → $9.3016	0.48%	0.52	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.454745	+5.27
below	$10.6144 → $11.0470	3.99%	5.02	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.858068	-9.95

Prix observé : $9.7563. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$8.5450 → $9.2977	8.44%	3.23	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.458600	+1.97
below	$11.8453 → $12.0190	1.46%	0.75	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2.0890	-8.98

Prix observé : $9.7563. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T09:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}