Observation #43198

← Research Observations / #43198

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 07:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

06:00–07:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

07:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

08:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.196270

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $20,773,643

Synced: 10-19 08:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-19 06:00) Next (10-19 08:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2303

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 06:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00019152

Settled at: 2026-10-19 07:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)99,058,526.60

OI (USD)$19,445,189

Mark price$0.196300

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$19,934,906

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 06:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.492%

Change 4h +8.692%

Change 24h +3.445%

Z-score 7d 0.37

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001166%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 95.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.281%

Divergence -2.51 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.048

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.97

OI momentum 4h

+7.922%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 06:00:00 OI observed: 05:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 06:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356598	fresh	11h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.693	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	early 25b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.92	79%	↔ -0.06	value	+0.84	—	#175278	0.58	bull_high	+6.65%	-0.54	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:17	↗
4h #359378	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.686	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 43%	late 3b 1.9ATR	—	near -1.4ATR	1.84	68%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.96	—	#176509	0.42	range_high	+0.01%	+0.07	19/10 00:00 upd 19/10 04:11	↗
1h anchor #360457	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.673	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 2b 1.7ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	1.94	97%	↑ +0.39	value	+1.40	—	#176987	0.76	range_medium	+0.54%	+0.62	19/10 06:00 upd 19/10 07:08	↗
15m #360395	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.592	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early 9b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.06	13%	↓ -0.31	above_value	+1.87	—	#176850	0.64	range_low	+0.30%	+0.16	19/10 06:45 upd 19/10 07:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211447	fresh	2026-10-19 06:00	0s	0.722	0.679	1/68	2026-10-19 07:00	2026-10-19 07:35
4h #211245	fresh	2026-10-19 00:00	3h	0.660	0.628	3/67	2026-10-19 04:00	2026-10-19 04:37
1d #210568	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	11h	0.367	0.483	33/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #176919	fresh	2026-10-19 06:45	0s	$0.179613	$0.195907	$0.174820	hvn	10.38	13.14
7d #176987	fresh	2026-10-19 06:00	0s	$0.191971	$0.197228	$0.179166	value	1.40	5.88
30d #176577	fresh	2026-10-19 00:00	3h	$0.202051	$0.230010	$0.188268	value	-0.85	6.41

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.181423 → $0.182488	0.59%	0.66	0.70	reversion	✓	↑ $0.013782	+8.59
above	$0.184618 → $0.185470	0.46%	0.53	0.56	reversion	✓	↑ $0.010800	+6.73
above	$0.187387 → $0.189304	1.02%	1.19	0.66	reversion	✓	↑ $0.006966	+4.34
above	$0.193351 → $0.194629	0.66%	0.80	0.61	reversion	✓	↑ $0.001641	+1.02

Prix observé : $0.196270. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.170000 → $0.173235	1.89%	1.05	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.023035	+7.50
above	$0.175931 → $0.178627	1.52%	0.88	0.37	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.017643	+5.74
below	$0.200193 → $0.202350	1.07%	0.70	0.47	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.003923	-1.28

Prix observé : $0.196270. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.175666	8.41%	2.18	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.020604	+3.16
below	$0.244186 → $0.256000	4.72%	1.81	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.047916	-7.36

Prix observé : $0.196270. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T10:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T10:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}