Observation #43395

← Research Observations / #43395

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,082.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,487,688,555

Synced: 10-19 11:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-19 09:00) Next (10-19 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3158

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 09:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00037429

Settled at: 2026-10-19 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,030.03

OI (USD)$3,287,906,891

Mark price$82,136.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,383,541,646

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.114%

Change 4h -0.664%

Change 24h -4.180%

Z-score 7d -0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000935%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.774%

Divergence -0.55

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.376

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.23

OI momentum 4h

-2.248%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+16 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	14h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #360786	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.391	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 33%	early 3b 0.5ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.86	44%	↔ +0.13	above_value	+1.93	—	#176981	—	—	—	—	19/10 04:00 upd 19/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #361519	fresh	0s	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.563	expansion	range_medium	43%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b 0.4ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.52	40%	↓ -0.55	value	+2.44	—	#177318	—	—	—	—	19/10 09:00 upd 19/10 10:05	↗
15m #361457	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.663	expansion	range_low	39%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 3b -1.8ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	2.59	95%	↑ +0.39	value	+2.44	—	#177318	—	—	—	—	19/10 09:45 upd 19/10 10:00	↗
5m #361456	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.547	volatile_reversal	range_low	33%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 2b -1.9ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	2.95	95%	↑ +0.78	value	+2.44	—	#177318	—	—	—	—	19/10 09:55 upd 19/10 10:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211707	fresh	2026-10-19 09:00	0s	0.558	0.488	10/66	2026-10-19 10:00	2026-10-19 10:35
4h #211575	fresh	2026-10-19 04:00	2h	0.532	0.475	6/66	2026-10-19 08:00	2026-10-19 08:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	14h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #177386	fresh	2026-10-19 09:45	0s	$81,132.41	$82,431.37	$80,644.00	value	4.52	8.51
7d #177453	fresh	2026-10-19 09:00	0s	$81,657.44	$82,739.35	$80,795.58	hvn	1.07	4.89
30d #177183	fresh	2026-10-19 04:00	2h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,086.33	value	-1.56	4.84

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,288.28 → $81,454.55	0.20%	0.79	0.57	reversion	✓	↑ $627.45	+2.99
above	$81,807.87 → $81,974.13	0.20%	0.79	0.83	reversion	✓	↑ $107.87	+0.51
below	$82,930.17 → $83,138.00	0.25%	0.99	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $848.17	-4.04

Prix observé : $82,082.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,538.85	1.01%	2.03	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,543.15	+3.88
below	$83,839.60 → $84,133.00	0.35%	0.74	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,757.60	-4.42

Prix observé : $82,082.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.37	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,253.64	+1.57
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.05	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,550.61	-5.69

Prix observé : $82,082.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	10:05	10:20	+0.39%	+0.76×	+0.94×	-0.14×	15m	5m	Low first	0.85	0.00%	+0.39%	106.07%	0.56%	$64.05M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	10:05	11:05	+0.50%	+0.96×	+1.56×	-0.14×	45m	5m	Low first	0.35	0.00%	+0.50%	58.69%	0.89%	$178.57M	10:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	10:05	14:05	+0.22%	+0.43×	+1.57×	-0.27×	1h25m	2h	High first	0.06	0.00%	+0.22%	38.81%	0.96%	$482.85M	10:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	10:05	22:05	-0.38%	-0.73×	+1.57×	-1.62×	1h25m	11h10m	High first	0.04	0.00%	-0.38%	32.85%	1.66%	$971.86M	10:45 / —	20:20 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	10:05	10:05	+0.72%	+1.39×	+1.57×	-1.62×	1h25m	11h10m	High first	0.04	0.00%	+0.72%	32.58%	1.66%	$1.97B	10:45 / —	20:20 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T13:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}