Observation #43578

← Research Observations / #43578

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.349260

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,062,366

Synced: 10-19 13:01 +1h

← Prev (10-19 11:00) Next (10-19 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5819

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 11:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000413

Settled at: 2026-10-19 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)15,078,628.80

OI (USD)$5,263,346

Mark price$0.349060

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,091,645

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.143%

Change 4h +0.192%

Change 24h +1.244%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 70.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.116%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.593

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+1.302%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1538 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 130 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356681	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.531	compression	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 36%	late 44b -1.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	2.80	95%	↔ +0.08	above_value	-0.82	—	#175317	0.72	bull_high	+6.65%	-0.87	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:22	↗
4h #362274	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.432	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b -0.6ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.73	64%	↑ +0.81	value	-2.27	—	#177770	0.65	bear_high	-0.89%	+0.01	19/10 08:00 upd 19/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #362269	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.545	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late 2b -1.8ATR	—	—	0.38	50%	↑ +0.24	value	-2.27	—	#177770	0.76	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.08	19/10 11:00 upd 19/10 12:14	↗
15m #362162	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.405	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 4b -1.4ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.10	8%	↓ -0.25	value	-1.97	—	#177632	0.48	range_low	-0.31%	-0.08	19/10 11:45 upd 19/10 12:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211889	fresh	2026-10-19 11:00	0s	0.443	0.406	61/68	2026-10-19 12:00	2026-10-19 12:36
4h #211957	fresh	2026-10-19 08:00	0s	0.461	0.396	41/68	2026-10-19 12:00	2026-10-19 12:38
1d #210607	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	16h	0.384	0.195	23/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #177701	fresh	2026-10-19 11:45	0s	$0.354782	$0.360594	$0.346857	value	-2.15	5.34
7d #177770	fresh	2026-10-19 11:00	0s	$0.362980	$0.370592	$0.350685	value	-2.27	3.71
30d #177839	fresh	2026-10-19 08:00	0s	$0.367534	$0.459138	$0.338745	value	-1.31	9.60

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.363553 → $0.365455	0.52%	0.74	0.51	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014293	-5.56
below	$0.365877 → $0.369470	0.98%	1.40	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016617	-6.46

Prix observé : $0.349260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.333510 → $0.340146	1.97%	1.24	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009114	+1.70
below	$0.375276 → $0.380350	1.34%	0.95	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.026016	-4.85

Prix observé : $0.349260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.333510 → $0.343979	3.09%	0.83	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005281	+0.42
below	$0.387600 → $0.406793	4.83%	1.53	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $0.038340	-3.06
below	$0.478331 → $0.485310	1.45%	0.56	0.49	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.129071	-10.29
below	$0.530676 → $0.542890	2.28%	0.97	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.181416	-14.47

Prix observé : $0.349260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T15:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}