Observation #43600

← Research Observations / #43600

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,943.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,554,287,627

Synced: 10-19 14:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-19 12:00) Next (10-19 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4827

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 12:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00022925

Settled at: 2026-10-19 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,246.70

OI (USD)$3,298,546,968

Mark price$81,958.20

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,505,579,597

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 12:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.455%

Change 4h +0.794%

Change 24h -4.477%

Z-score 7d 0.60

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001065%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.753%

Divergence -1.48

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.316

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.29

OI momentum 4h

-0.041%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #362179	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.458	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 34%	early 4b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	1.29	71%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+1.47	—	#177587	—	—	—	—	19/10 08:00 upd 19/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #362579	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.725	volatile_reversal	range_medium	28%	noisy_chop 36%	early 2b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.75	52%	↔ -0.15	above_value	+0.61	—	#177723	—	—	—	—	19/10 12:00 upd 19/10 13:05	↗
15m #362521	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.516	expansion	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b -0.9ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.59	63%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+0.61	—	#177723	—	—	—	—	19/10 12:45 upd 19/10 13:00	↗
5m #362520	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.320	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 47%	early 11b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.96	68%	↓ -0.55	above_value	+0.61	—	#177723	—	—	—	—	19/10 12:55 upd 19/10 13:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #211978	fresh	2026-10-19 12:00	0s	0.533	0.504	24/67	2026-10-19 13:00	2026-10-19 13:35
4h #211910	fresh	2026-10-19 08:00	1h	0.561	0.476	15/68	2026-10-19 12:00	2026-10-19 12:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	17h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #177861	fresh	2026-10-19 12:45	0s	$82,441.76	$82,909.38	$81,516.90	value	-2.12	5.93
7d #177930	fresh	2026-10-19 12:00	0s	$81,730.79	$82,702.68	$80,795.58	hvn	0.49	4.40
30d #177792	fresh	2026-10-19 08:00	1h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,086.33	value	-1.58	4.75

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,246.72 → $81,475.33	0.28%	0.97	0.67	reversion	✓	↑ $467.67	+1.99
below	$82,888.60 → $83,138.00	0.30%	1.06	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $945.60	-4.02

Prix observé : $81,943.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,538.85	1.01%	1.86	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,404.15	+3.24
below	$83,839.60 → $84,133.00	0.35%	0.68	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,896.60	-4.38

Prix observé : $81,943.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.34	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,114.64	+1.37
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.03	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,689.61	-5.75

Prix observé : $81,943.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	13:05	13:20	-0.15%	-0.29×	0.00×	-0.37×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.15%	6.43%	0.19%	$55.84M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	13:05	14:05	+0.01%	+0.02×	+0.15×	-0.54×	1h	50m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.01%	25.90%	0.35%	$123.00M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	13:05	17:05	+0.02%	+0.03×	+0.24×	-0.66×	1h10m	2h50m	High first	0.01	0.00%	+0.02%	25.32%	0.46%	$271.11M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	13:05	01:05	+0.04%	+0.08×	+0.57×	-2.06×	5h15m	8h10m	High first	0.00	0.00%	+0.04%	27.85%	1.35%	$811.40M	— / —	20:15 / 21:10	—	100%
1d	computed	13:05	13:05	+0.85%	+1.67×	+3.32×	-2.06×	21h55m	8h10m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.85%	37.89%	2.75%	$2.67B	10:00 / 10:05	20:15 / 21:10	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T16:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T16:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}