Observation #4371

← Research Observations / #4371

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-09-28 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.5172

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,433,293

Synced: 09-28 05:01 +1h

← Prev (09-28 03:00) Next (09-28 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0918

evaluated_at: 2026-09-28 03:46:15 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000285

Settled at: 2026-09-28 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,859,871.20

OI (USD)$7,228,896

Mark price$2.5277

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,379,560

Snapshot at: 2026-09-28 03:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -3.415%

Change 4h -7.333%

Change 24h +5.811%

Z-score 7d -1.30

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.004556%

Percentile 7d 61.9%

Percentile 30d 90.6%

Δ 4h -0.000185%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -4.118%

Divergence -0.52

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.673

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.30

OI momentum 4h

-6.269%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+478 crowded

Time: 2026-09-28 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #156493	fresh	8h	↑ up	range	range	weak	fading	0.444	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 38%	early 11b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.78	74%	↑ +0.50	above_value	-0.77	—	#88078	0.51	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.31	26/09 20:00 upd 27/09 20:25	↗
4h #159765	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.524	compression	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 45%	late 17b -2.1ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	2.39	97%	↔ -0.03	below_value	-4.96	—	#89529	0.39	bull_high	+1.25%	-0.75	28/09 00:00 upd 28/09 04:18	↗
1h anchor #159763	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.611	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 48%	late 7b -2.9ATR	—	—	0.51	58%	↑ +0.60	below_value	-4.96	—	#89529	0.32	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.44%	-0.55	28/09 03:00 upd 28/09 04:18	↗
15m #159597	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.470	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 48%	late 16b -3.3ATR	—	—	0.30	74%	↑ +0.29	below_value	-4.35	—	#89365	0.51	bear_low	-1.25%	-0.37	28/09 03:45 upd 28/09 04:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #161577	fresh	2026-09-28 03:00	0s	0.378	0.183	78/81	2026-09-28 04:00	2026-09-28 04:37
4h #161658	fresh	2026-09-28 00:00	0s	0.431	0.302	63/81	2026-09-28 04:00	2026-09-28 04:39
1d #160852	fresh	2026-09-26 20:00	8h	0.518	0.716	69/78	2026-09-27 20:00	2026-09-27 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #89447	fresh	2026-09-28 03:45	0s	$2.7123	$2.7538	$2.5920	between	-9.49	7.87
7d #89529	fresh	2026-09-28 03:00	0s	$2.7342	$2.8737	$2.6302	lvn LVN	-4.96	5.57
30d #89611	fresh	2026-09-28 00:00	0s	$2.7193	$2.8340	$2.4069	hvn	-1.83	4.38

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.6100 → $2.6212	0.43%	0.55	0.61	reversion	✓	↓ $0.092795	-4.51
below	$2.6392 → $2.6594	0.76%	0.98	0.63	reversion	✓	↓ $0.122013	-5.93
below	$2.7516 → $2.7853	1.22%	1.64	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.234387	-11.40

Prix observé : $2.5172. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$2.4532 → $2.5461	3.72%	2.12	0.81	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$2.9445 → $2.9843	1.34%	0.91	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.427268	-9.77

Prix observé : $2.5172. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.8736 → $2.9843	3.78%	1.13	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.356360	-3.65

Prix observé : $2.5172. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T07:46:15+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 825,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T07:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}