Observation #43871

← Research Observations / #43871

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-19 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,006.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,106,717,515

Synced: 10-19 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-19 16:00) Next (10-19 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2949

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 16:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029309

Settled at: 2026-10-19 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,876.01

OI (USD)$3,268,676,296

Mark price$81,971.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,318,374,444

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 16:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.315%

Change 4h -1.284%

Change 24h -4.565%

Z-score 7d 0.40

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001120%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.077%

Divergence 1.05

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.321

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.28

OI momentum 4h

-2.078%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+23 crowded

Time: 2026-10-19 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #356574	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.613	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 27b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.86	41%	↔ +0.04	above_value	+1.27	—	#175272	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 20:15	↗
4h #363597	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.473	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 5b -0.1ATR	near 0.5ATR	near -0.2ATR	0.84	46%	↑ +0.26	above_value	+0.50	—	#178203	—	—	—	—	19/10 12:00 upd 19/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #363999	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.604	expansion	range_medium	33%	noisy_chop 27%	early 6b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.34	17%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+0.28	—	#178340	—	—	—	—	19/10 16:00 upd 19/10 17:05	↗
15m #363939	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.624	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 34%	early 11b 0.0ATR	near 0.1ATR	near -0.1ATR	0.69	44%	↓ -0.64	above_value	+0.28	—	#178340	—	—	—	—	19/10 16:45 upd 19/10 17:00	↗
5m #363938	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.773	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 13b 0.6ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.54	19%	↓ -0.51	above_value	+0.28	—	#178340	—	—	—	—	19/10 16:55 upd 19/10 17:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #212314	fresh	2026-10-19 16:00	0s	0.497	0.518	36/66	2026-10-19 17:00	2026-10-19 17:35
4h #212247	fresh	2026-10-19 12:00	1h	0.533	0.489	14/67	2026-10-19 16:00	2026-10-19 16:37
1d #210562	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	21h	0.521	0.520	4/67	2026-10-18 20:00	2026-10-18 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #178478	fresh	2026-10-19 16:45	0s	$81,999.74	$82,730.82	$81,805.40	hvn	0.04	5.36
7d #178546	fresh	2026-10-19 16:00	0s	$81,730.79	$82,629.33	$80,795.58	hvn	0.70	4.65
30d #178409	fresh	2026-10-19 12:00	1h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,086.33	value	-2.11	4.93

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,028.05 → $81,176.12	0.18%	0.86	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $829.88	+4.80
above	$81,250.15 → $81,453.74	0.25%	1.18	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $552.26	+3.20
below	$82,989.93 → $83,138.00	0.18%	0.86	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $983.93	-5.70

Prix observé : $82,006.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,538.85	1.01%	2.05	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,467.15	+3.72
below	$83,839.60 → $84,133.00	0.35%	0.74	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,833.60	-4.65

Prix observé : $82,006.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.40	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,177.64	+1.50
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.07	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,626.61	-5.89

Prix observé : $82,006.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	17:05	17:20	+0.02%	+0.04×	+0.42×	-0.10×	15m	5m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.02%	70.61%	0.24%	$27.19M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	17:05	18:05	+0.06%	+0.12×	+0.42×	-0.13×	15m	50m	High first	0.09	0.00%	+0.06%	25.92%	0.25%	$41.90M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	17:05	21:05	-0.61%	-1.31×	+0.60×	-1.66×	1h15m	3h20m	High first	0.22	0.00%	-0.61%	26.52%	1.05%	$240.18M	— / —	20:15 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	17:05	05:05	-0.73%	-1.58×	+0.60×	-2.30×	1h15m	4h10m	High first	0.09	0.00%	-0.73%	26.95%	1.35%	$841.40M	— / —	20:15 / 21:05	—	100%
1d	computed	17:05	17:05	+0.97%	+2.09×	+3.61×	-2.30×	17h55m	4h10m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.97%	37.47%	2.75%	$2.61B	10:00 / 10:05	20:15 / 21:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T20:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T20:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-19T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}