Observation #442

← Research Observations / #442

🪙 TRX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-26 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.337010

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,918,007

Synced: 09-26 05:15 +1.3h

← Prev (09-26 03:00) Next (09-26 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6768

evaluated_at: 2026-09-26 03:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000739%

Annualized6.47%

Premium-0.00044089

Settled at: 2026-09-26 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)37,603,904.00

OI (USD)$12,675,900

Mark price$0.337090

Funding next0.000704%

Day vol (USD)$4,024,446

Snapshot at: 2026-09-26 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.005%

Change 4h +2.605%

Change 24h +4.299%

Z-score 7d 0.06

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000645%

Avg 24h -0.003318%

Percentile 7d 23.2%

Percentile 30d 50.0%

Δ 4h +0.004197%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.059%

Divergence -1.51

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.158

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.25

OI momentum 4h

+3.120%

Funding +ratio 24h

16.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-09-26 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #136119	fresh	8h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.642	normal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 35%	early 3b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.83	90%	↑ +0.32	value	+1.10	—	#79224	0.41	bull_high_confirmed	+14.79%	-0.37	24/09 20:00 upd 25/09 20:19	↗
4h #139491	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.284	compression	range_medium	43%	noisy_chop 49%	early 12b -1.3ATR	—	—	1.06	68%	↔ +0.01	above_value	-0.13	—	#80724	0.37	bull_high	+3.45%	+0.10	26/09 00:00 upd 26/09 04:13	↗
1h anchor #139490	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.506	compression	bear_low	47%	noisy_chop 36%	early 3b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.21	22%	↓ -0.59	above_value	-0.13	—	#80724	0.31	range_medium	+0.00%	+0.06	26/09 03:00 upd 26/09 04:13	↗
15m #139394	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.510	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 12b -0.9ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.04	9%	↓ -0.53	above_value	-0.01	—	#80555	0.31	range_low	+0.07%	-0.02	26/09 03:45 upd 26/09 04:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #156499	fresh	2026-09-26 03:00	0s	0.404	0.479	81/85	2026-09-26 04:00	2026-09-26 04:35
4h #156583	fresh	2026-09-26 00:00	0s	0.529	0.464	63/85	2026-09-26 04:00	2026-09-26 04:37
1d #155758	fresh	2026-09-24 20:00	8h	0.559	0.542	72/82	2026-09-25 20:00	2026-09-25 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #80639	fresh	2026-09-26 03:45	0s	$0.337021	$0.337717	$0.336561	hvn	-0.06	6.15
7d #80724	fresh	2026-09-26 03:00	0s	$0.337090	$0.343625	$0.335618	hvn	-0.13	13.34
30d #80809	fresh	2026-09-26 00:00	0s	$0.338297	$0.344143	$0.329828	hvn	-0.60	7.57

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.335500 → $0.335618	0.04%	0.63	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001392	+7.40
above	$0.336207 → $0.336443	0.07%	1.26	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000567	+3.02
below	$0.337976 → $0.338330	0.10%	1.88	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000966	-5.14

Prix observé : $0.337010. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.345391 → $0.348453	0.88%	5.10	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008381	-13.96
below	$0.349277 → $0.349630	0.10%	0.59	0.60	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012267	-20.44

Prix observé : $0.337010. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.344620 → $0.349630	1.44%	2.65	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007610	-4.02

Prix observé : $0.337010. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T07:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}