Observation #44396

← Research Observations / #44396

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 00:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

23:00–00:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

00:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

01:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.279530

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,791,749

Synced: 10-20 01:02 +1h

← Prev (10-19 23:00) Next (10-20 01:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5714

evaluated_at: 2026-10-19 23:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00007480

Settled at: 2026-10-20 00:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)81,262,774.00

OI (USD)$22,517,102

Mark price$0.277090

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,888,155

Snapshot at: 2026-10-19 23:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365245	fresh	4h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 46%	—	—	—	0.33	4%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-11.33	inside	#179008	—	bull_high	+6.31%	-1.00	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:25	↗
4h #366568	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.411	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 46%	early 7b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.65	8%	↑ +0.34	below_value	-11.16	inside	#179600	0.32	range_high	-0.61%	-0.87	19/10 20:00 upd 20/10 00:18	↗
1h anchor #366566	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.596	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	65%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 2b 1.5ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.64	17%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-11.16	—	#179600	0.49	range_medium	+0.20%	+0.60	19/10 23:00 upd 20/10 00:18	↗
15m #366357	fresh	15min	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.673	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 9b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.31	14%	↓ -0.78	below_value	-11.70	—	#179470	0.59	range_low	+0.00%	-0.03	19/10 23:30 upd 19/10 23:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #212962	fresh	2026-10-19 23:00	0s	0.557	0.593	15/64	2026-10-20 00:00	2026-10-20 00:37
4h #213026	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	0s	0.389	0.374	55/65	2026-10-20 00:00	2026-10-20 00:38
1d #212703	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	4h	0.242	0.209	60/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #179535	fresh	2026-10-19 23:45	0s	$0.259678	$0.271153	$0.256887	between	6.30	4.53
7d #179600	fresh	2026-10-19 23:00	0s	$0.341404	$0.350356	$0.288162	lvn LVN	-11.16	10.55
30d #179665	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	0s	$0.626674	$0.740760	$0.383982	between	-24.37	24.62

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.255440 → $0.257508	0.81%	0.66	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022022	+6.99
above	$0.268879 → $0.270739	0.69%	0.59	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.008791	+2.79

Prix observé : $0.279530. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242930 → $0.253296	4.18%	1.76	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026234	+4.45
above	$0.265546 → $0.277796	4.51%	2.08	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001734	+0.29
below	$0.350356 → $0.356010	1.60%	0.96	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.070826	-12.01

Prix observé : $0.279530. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242930 → $0.259524	6.61%	1.15	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.020006	+1.38
below	$0.433765 → $0.504291	15.04%	4.87	0.75	reversion	✓	↓ $0.154235	-10.64
below	$0.711720 → $0.740760	4.00%	2.00	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.432190	-29.82

Prix observé : $0.279530. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T03:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T03:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}