Observation #44529

← Research Observations / #44529

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,797.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,898,350,672

Synced: 10-20 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-20 02:00) Next (10-20 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3133

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00015947

Settled at: 2026-10-20 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,962.70

OI (USD)$3,268,628,978

Mark price$81,792.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,915,128,883

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 02:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.313%

Change 4h +0.185%

Change 24h -0.052%

Z-score 7d -0.49

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001230%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.026%

Divergence 0.06

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.710

OI / Vol z-7d

0.10

OI momentum 4h

+1.333%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+33 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365075	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.617	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 28b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.86	42%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+0.71	—	#178944	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:15	↗
4h #366423	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.634	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 5b 0.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	near -0.4ATR	1.18	51%	↑ +0.60	above_value	+0.30	—	#179406	—	—	—	—	19/10 20:00 upd 20/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #367464	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.654	normal	range_medium	35%	noisy_chop 32%	early 2b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.63	35%	↓ -0.26	above_value	+0.10	—	#179867	—	—	—	—	20/10 02:00 upd 20/10 03:05	↗
15m #367406	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.490	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 39%	early 3b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.43	18%	↓ -0.35	above_value	+0.10	—	#179867	—	—	—	—	20/10 02:45 upd 20/10 03:00	↗
5m #367405	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.258	normal	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 41%	early 11b -0.3ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.36	24%	↔ -0.14	above_value	+0.10	—	#179867	—	—	—	—	20/10 02:55 upd 20/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #213159	fresh	2026-10-20 02:00	0s	0.486	0.498	28/66	2026-10-20 03:00	2026-10-20 03:35
4h #212964	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	3h	0.545	0.498	13/65	2026-10-20 00:00	2026-10-20 00:37
1d #212640	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	7h	0.512	0.504	9/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #179933	fresh	2026-10-20 02:45	0s	$82,015.17	$82,383.98	$81,629.97	value	-1.34	4.64
7d #179999	fresh	2026-10-20 02:00	0s	$81,657.44	$82,555.98	$80,832.25	hvn	0.37	4.59
30d #179602	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	3h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,150.82	value	-2.02	4.97

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,171.00 → $81,433.27	0.32%	1.61	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $363.73	+2.24
below	$82,924.91 → $83,138.00	0.26%	1.31	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,127.91	-6.94

Prix observé : $81,797.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,465.50	0.92%	1.95	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,331.50	+3.54
below	$83,766.25 → $84,133.00	0.44%	0.98	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,969.25	-5.24

Prix observé : $81,797.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.43	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $968.64	+1.27
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.10	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,835.61	-6.32

Prix observé : $81,797.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.17%	-0.38×	0.00×	-0.41×	5m	15m	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.17%	12.62%	0.19%	$8.85M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	-0.54%	-1.18×	0.00×	-1.24×	5m	1h	Low first	1.00	0.00%	-0.54%	19.18%	0.57%	$90.28M	— / —	04:00 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	-0.30%	-0.64×	0.00×	-1.38×	5m	2h50m	Low first	0.12	0.00%	-0.30%	22.66%	0.63%	$294.47M	— / —	04:00 / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	+0.84%	+1.82×	+4.27×	-1.38×	7h55m	2h50m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+0.84%	45.87%	2.60%	$1.89B	10:00 / 10:05	04:00 / —	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+1.18%	+2.56×	+4.27×	-1.38×	7h55m	2h50m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+1.18%	36.00%	2.60%	$2.48B	10:00 / 10:05	04:00 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T06:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}