Observation #44576

← Research Observations / #44576

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.4578

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,979,143

Synced: 10-20 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-20 02:00) Next (10-20 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3133

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000931

Settled at: 2026-10-20 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,848,048.60

OI (USD)$6,994,238

Mark price$2.4558

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,049,476

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 02:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.054%

Change 4h +0.166%

Change 24h +13.079%

Z-score 7d -0.04

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 84.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.759%

Divergence -0.52

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.161

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.26

OI momentum 4h

-1.274%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1005 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365209	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.713	compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 36%	early 24b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.75	87%	↓ -0.18	above_value	+3.58	—	#178991	0.50	bull_high	+6.31%	+0.30	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:23	↗
4h #366517	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.519	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 8b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	0.74	34%	↑ +0.87	above_value	+4.09	—	#179583	0.52	range_high	-0.61%	+0.54	19/10 20:00 upd 20/10 00:15	↗
1h anchor #367512	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.615	normal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 3b -0.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.34	63%	↓ -0.71	above_value	+2.90	—	#180047	0.69	range_medium	-0.19%	-0.03	20/10 02:00 upd 20/10 03:10	↗
15m #367449	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.427	compression	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 42%	early 3b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.33	10%	↔ +0.13	value	+2.77	—	#179915	0.57	range_low	-0.22%	-0.02	20/10 02:45 upd 20/10 03:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #213207	fresh	2026-10-20 02:00	0s	0.493	0.559	25/66	2026-10-20 03:00	2026-10-20 03:36
4h #213010	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	3h	0.614	0.617	8/65	2026-10-20 00:00	2026-10-20 00:38
1d #212687	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	7h	0.495	0.539	13/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #179981	fresh	2026-10-20 02:45	0s	$2.4745	$2.5133	$2.4438	hvn	-1.06	4.42
7d #180047	fresh	2026-10-20 02:00	0s	$2.3468	$2.4557	$2.2640	between	2.90	5.01
30d #179648	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	3h	$2.7211	$2.8258	$2.4643	hvn	-3.14	4.76

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4084 → $2.4411	1.35%	2.08	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.016700	+1.06
below	$2.5610 → $2.5719	0.42%	0.69	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.103200	-6.57

Prix observé : $2.4578. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2233 → $2.2524	1.30%	0.76	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.205450	+5.36
below	$2.5138 → $2.5719	2.28%	1.52	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.056000	-1.46

Prix observé : $2.4578. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2233 → $2.2931	3.09%	0.92	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.164742	+2.17
below	$2.8638 → $2.9843	4.12%	1.59	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.406008	-5.34

Prix observé : $2.4578. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T06:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}