Observation #44661

← Research Observations / #44661

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,518.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,930,403,424

Synced: 10-20 06:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-20 04:00) Next (10-20 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2733

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 04:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00030427

Settled at: 2026-10-20 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,250.57

OI (USD)$3,277,229,354

Mark price$81,420.70

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,918,963,304

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 04:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.163%

Change 4h +0.847%

Change 24h +0.998%

Z-score 7d 0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.673%

Divergence -1.46

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.718

OI / Vol z-7d

0.10

OI momentum 4h

+1.664%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+35 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365075	fresh	9h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.617	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 28b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.86	42%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+0.71	—	#178944	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:15	↗
4h #367789	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.619	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b -0.2ATR	near -0.5ATR	near -0.2ATR	0.65	20%	↑ +0.59	above_value	+0.37	—	#179999	—	—	—	—	20/10 00:00 upd 20/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #368180	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.359	normal	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 4b -1.1ATR	—	—	1.52	74%	↓ -0.25	above_value	-0.49	—	#180131	—	—	—	—	20/10 04:00 upd 20/10 05:05	↗
15m #368122	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.471	compression	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 47%	early 3b -1.1ATR	—	—	1.75	79%	↑ +0.55	above_value	-0.49	—	#180131	—	—	—	—	20/10 04:45 upd 20/10 05:00	↗
5m #368121	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.426	expansion	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -0.2ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.98	96%	↑ +0.19	above_value	-0.49	—	#180131	—	—	—	—	20/10 04:55 upd 20/10 05:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #213355	fresh	2026-10-20 04:00	0s	0.534	0.462	21/65	2026-10-20 05:00	2026-10-20 05:35
4h #213290	fresh	2026-10-20 00:00	1h	0.510	0.461	14/65	2026-10-20 04:00	2026-10-20 04:37
1d #212640	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	9h	0.512	0.504	9/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #180263	fresh	2026-10-20 04:45	0s	$82,003.13	$82,280.50	$81,551.40	between	-3.01	4.52
7d #180329	fresh	2026-10-20 04:00	0s	$81,717.16	$82,536.73	$80,861.18	hvn	-0.54	4.55
30d #180197	fresh	2026-10-20 00:00	1h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,150.82	value	-2.25	4.96

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,171.00 → $81,329.50	0.20%	0.98	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $188.50	+1.17
below	$82,740.15 → $82,946.20	0.25%	1.28	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,222.15	-7.57
below	$82,977.90 → $83,073.00	0.11%	0.59	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,459.90	-9.04

Prix observé : $81,518.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,460.50	0.91%	1.98	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,057.50	+2.87
below	$83,738.75 → $84,103.00	0.43%	0.99	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,220.75	-6.03

Prix observé : $81,518.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.43	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $689.64	+0.90
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	1.09	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,114.61	-6.67

Prix observé : $81,518.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	05:05	05:20	+0.13%	+0.29×	+0.30×	-0.20×	15m	15m	Tied	0.53	0.00%	+0.13%	56.54%	0.22%	$5.86M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	05:05	06:05	+0.12%	+0.27×	+0.32×	-0.39×	20m	50m	High first	0.15	0.00%	+0.12%	29.56%	0.32%	$47.66M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	05:05	09:05	+0.02%	+0.06×	+0.90×	-0.39×	3h45m	50m	Low first	0.01	0.00%	+0.02%	32.08%	0.58%	$239.89M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	05:05	17:05	+1.72%	+3.86×	+5.47×	-0.39×	5h55m	50m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+1.72%	45.67%	2.61%	$1.77B	09:45 / 09:55	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	05:05	05:05	+2.22%	+4.98×	+6.22×	-0.39×	23h50m	50m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	+2.22%	37.83%	2.95%	$2.44B	09:45 / 09:55	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T08:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T08:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}