Observation #449

← Research Observations / #449

🪙 PENDLE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENDLE

Market snapshot at

2026-09-26 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.5599

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,276,399

Synced: 09-26 05:00 +1h

← Prev (09-26 03:00) Next (09-26 05:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENDLE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6768

evaluated_at: 2026-09-26 03:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.002960%

Annualized25.93%

Premium0.00073682

Settled at: 2026-09-26 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,830,094.00

OI (USD)$14,922,709

Mark price$2.5596

Funding next0.002766%

Day vol (USD)$4,344,022

Snapshot at: 2026-09-26 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.031%

Change 4h +0.409%

Change 24h +2.951%

Z-score 7d -0.18

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001910%

Percentile 7d 77.4%

Percentile 30d 93.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.656%

Divergence 0.91

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.445

OI / Vol z-7d

1.55

OI momentum 4h

+0.531%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+993 crowded

Time: 2026-09-26 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #136147	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.724	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early 15b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	1.22	89%	↑ +0.38	above_value	+0.22	—	#79231	0.63	bull_high_confirmed	+14.79%	+0.95	24/09 20:00 upd 25/09 20:20	↗
4h #139505	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.587	compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 36%	early 11b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.39	46%	↓ -0.35	above_value	+0.39	—	#80731	0.44	bull_high	+3.45%	+0.40	26/09 00:00 upd 26/09 04:13	↗
1h anchor #139504	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.551	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 41%	early 4b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	1.10	58%	↓ -0.87	above_value	+0.39	—	#80731	0.35	range_medium	+0.00%	-0.24	26/09 03:00 upd 26/09 04:13	↗
15m #139401	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.563	normal	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 5b 1.2ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.38	18%	↑ +0.63	above_value	-0.28	—	#80562	0.57	range_low	+0.07%	+0.14	26/09 03:45 upd 26/09 04:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #156506	fresh	2026-09-26 03:00	0s	0.531	0.591	53/85	2026-09-26 04:00	2026-09-26 04:35
4h #156590	fresh	2026-09-26 00:00	0s	0.508	0.657	67/85	2026-09-26 04:00	2026-09-26 04:38
1d #155765	fresh	2026-09-24 20:00	8h	0.628	0.768	56/82	2026-09-25 20:00	2026-09-25 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #80646	fresh	2026-09-26 03:45	0s	$2.6292	$2.6544	$2.5510	hvn	-4.82	7.19
7d #80731	fresh	2026-09-26 03:00	0s	$2.5449	$2.6245	$2.4148	hvn	0.39	5.47
30d #80816	fresh	2026-09-26 00:00	0s	$2.6058	$2.7237	$2.1199	hvn	-0.57	6.59

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.4924 → $2.5142	0.87%	1.51	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.045713	+3.17
below	$2.5795 → $2.5904	0.42%	0.76	0.37	reversion	—	↓ $0.019647	-1.36

Prix observé : $2.5599. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.3333 → $2.3838	2.14%	1.32	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.176128	+4.59
below	$2.6711 → $2.6905	0.72%	0.51	0.49	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.111177	-2.90
below	$2.7526 → $2.7992	1.68%	1.21	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.192710	-5.02

Prix observé : $2.5599. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6670 → $1.7519	4.97%	0.93	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.807985	+8.82
above	$1.8180 → $1.9123	5.06%	1.03	0.55	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.647590	+7.07
below	$2.7237 → $2.7992	2.73%	0.82	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.163820	-1.79

Prix observé : $2.5599. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T07:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-26T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}