Observation #44932

← Research Observations / #44932

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.188730

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $19,786,137

Synced: 10-20 10:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-20 08:00) Next (10-20 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6218

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 08:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00023565

Settled at: 2026-10-20 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)103,672,654.80

OI (USD)$19,579,618

Mark price$0.188860

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$19,309,448

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 08:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.329%

Change 4h -1.444%

Change 24h +4.058%

Z-score 7d -0.22

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001126%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 96.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.783%

Divergence 0.06

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.997

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.89

OI momentum 4h

-6.286%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365099	fresh	13h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.715	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 39%	early 26b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.87	89%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+0.37	—	#178950	0.58	bull_high	+6.31%	-0.12	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:17	↗
4h #369167	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.665	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 40%	early 2b -0.2ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.76	40%	↑ +0.69	value	-2.61	—	#180731	0.41	bear_high	-1.33%	-0.00	20/10 04:00 upd 20/10 08:11	↗
1h anchor #369555	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.509	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 10b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.77	64%	↔ -0.06	value	-2.89	—	#180930	0.74	range_medium	-0.37%	-0.31	20/10 08:00 upd 20/10 09:08	↗
15m #369496	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.426	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 33%	late 36b -1.6ATR	—	—	1.36	58%	↓ -0.22	value	-2.61	—	#180731	0.59	range_low	-0.26%	-0.23	20/10 08:45 upd 20/10 09:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #213687	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	0s	0.492	0.448	42/66	2026-10-20 09:00	2026-10-20 09:35
4h #213620	fresh	2026-10-20 04:00	1h	0.476	0.420	29/66	2026-10-20 08:00	2026-10-20 08:37
1d #212646	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	13h	0.517	0.659	8/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #180863	fresh	2026-10-20 08:45	0s	$0.197426	$0.200524	$0.193801	between	-6.51	5.03
7d #180930	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	0s	$0.198324	$0.202129	$0.184374	value	-2.89	5.34
30d #180797	fresh	2026-10-20 04:00	1h	$0.202051	$0.224497	$0.180392	value	-1.76	6.33

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.190505 → $0.192219	0.90%	1.28	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001775	-1.33
below	$0.202106 → $0.203820	0.84%	1.28	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013376	-10.01

Prix observé : $0.188730. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.170000 → $0.172818	1.64%	0.85	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.015912	+4.79
above	$0.175637 → $0.179019	1.91%	1.02	0.43	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.009711	+2.92
below	$0.201847 → $0.203820	0.97%	0.59	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013117	-3.95

Prix observé : $0.188730. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.175666	8.41%	2.03	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013064	+1.87
below	$0.244186 → $0.256000	4.72%	1.69	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.055456	-7.96

Prix observé : $0.188730. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T12:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T12:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}