Observation #44985

← Research Observations / #44985

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.798660

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,811,785

Synced: 10-20 10:02 +1h

← Prev (10-20 08:00) Next (10-20 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6218

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 08:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00005929

Settled at: 2026-10-20 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)39,644,958.00

OI (USD)$31,676,321

Mark price$0.799000

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,648,929

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 08:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.099%

Change 4h +0.202%

Change 24h +6.876%

Z-score 7d 0.18

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 73.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.412%

Divergence -0.65

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.805

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.21

OI momentum 4h

-0.276%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+37 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365234	fresh	13h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.594	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 36%	early 8b -0.4ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.56	70%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-9.23	—	#179003	0.63	bull_high	+6.31%	+0.02	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:25	↗
4h #369283	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.378	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b -0.8ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.27	4%	↑ +0.38	above_value	+0.21	—	#180784	0.50	bear_high	-1.33%	-0.74	20/10 04:00 upd 20/10 08:17	↗
1h anchor #369610	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.627	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	early 5b -0.2ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.28	16%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+0.15	—	#180984	0.58	range_medium	-0.37%	+0.23	20/10 08:00 upd 20/10 09:11	↗
15m #369544	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.594	compression	range_medium	37%	noisy_chop 35%	late 23b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.86	22%	↑ +0.26	above_value	+0.21	—	#180784	0.66	range_low	-0.26%	-0.11	20/10 08:45 upd 20/10 09:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #213740	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	0s	0.447	0.442	62/66	2026-10-20 09:00	2026-10-20 09:37
4h #213672	fresh	2026-10-20 04:00	1h	0.386	0.269	56/66	2026-10-20 08:00	2026-10-20 08:38
1d #212698	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	13h	0.405	0.522	28/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #180917	fresh	2026-10-20 08:45	0s	$0.811388	$0.818000	$0.786536	value	-2.86	7.06
7d #180984	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	0s	$0.798497	$0.895118	$0.763280	hvn	0.15	13.18
30d #180850	fresh	2026-10-20 04:00	1h	$0.803689	$0.914492	$0.775619	hvn	-0.10	5.35

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.763280 → $0.771032	1.01%	1.74	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.027628	+6.20
above	$0.786536 → $0.792464	0.75%	1.33	0.49	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.006196	+1.39

Prix observé : $0.798660. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.819266 → $0.831908	1.53%	1.26	0.69	reversion	✓	↓ $0.020606	-2.06
below	$0.938462 → $0.980000	4.33%	4.15	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.139802	-13.98

Prix observé : $0.798660. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.639700 → $0.654474	2.28%	0.57	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.144186	+5.55
above	$0.722433 → $0.763800	5.57%	1.59	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.034860	+1.34
below	$0.958813 → $0.994270	3.63%	1.37	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.160153	-6.17

Prix observé : $0.798660. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T12:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T12:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}