Observation #45357

← Research Observations / #45357

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,512.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,602,780,396

Synced: 10-20 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-20 14:00) Next (10-20 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3793

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 14:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00032361

Settled at: 2026-10-20 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,244.77

OI (USD)$3,402,693,759

Mark price$82,500.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,604,277,272

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.937%

Change 4h -2.940%

Change 24h +4.309%

Z-score 7d 1.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.891%

Divergence 0.73

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.298

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.38

OI momentum 4h

-7.759%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+45 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365075	fresh	19h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.617	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 33%	early 28b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.86	42%	↔ +0.05	above_value	+0.71	—	#178944	—	—	—	—	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:15	↗
4h #370550	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.607	expansion_after_compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b 1.2ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	2.96	93%	↑ +0.56	above_value	+3.63	—	#181194	—	—	—	—	20/10 08:00 upd 20/10 12:05	↗
1h anchor #371659	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.685	volatile_reversal	range_medium	36%	noisy_chop 37%	early 4b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.41	36%	↑ +0.48	above_value	+2.45	—	#181683	—	—	—	—	20/10 14:00 upd 20/10 15:05	↗
15m #371591	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.592	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.13	18%	↓ -0.92	above_value	+2.45	—	#181683	—	—	—	—	20/10 14:45 upd 20/10 15:00	↗
5m #371590	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.642	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 42%	late 14b -1.1ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.28	9%	↔ -0.08	above_value	+2.45	—	#181683	—	—	—	—	20/10 14:55 upd 20/10 15:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #214166	fresh	2026-10-20 14:00	0s	0.543	0.511	47/77	2026-10-20 15:00	2026-10-20 15:35
4h #213949	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	3h	0.663	0.544	18/70	2026-10-20 12:00	2026-10-20 12:37
1d #212640	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	19h	0.512	0.504	9/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #181754	fresh	2026-10-20 14:45	0s	$81,480.93	$82,636.10	$81,340.05	value	3.99	5.02
7d #181832	fresh	2026-10-20 14:00	0s	$81,607.89	$82,573.15	$80,970.45	value	1.91	3.38
30d #181401	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	3h	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,215.31	hvn	-0.52	4.43

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,171.00 → $81,358.83	0.23%	0.73	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,153.17	+4.46
below	$83,237.17 → $83,425.00	0.23%	0.73	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↓ $725.17	-2.81

Prix observé : $82,512.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,424.08	0.86%	1.46	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,087.93	+4.40
below	$83,702.33 → $84,103.00	0.48%	0.84	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,190.33	-2.51

Prix observé : $82,512.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,828.36	1.37%	1.30	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,683.64	+1.99
below	$86,632.61 → $87,471.00	0.96%	0.99	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,120.61	-4.88

Prix observé : $82,512.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	15:05	15:20	-0.01%	-0.03×	+0.08×	-0.06×	15m	5m	Low first	0.32	0.00%	-0.01%	1.94%	0.08%	$4.75M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	15:05	16:05	+0.11%	+0.19×	+0.29×	-0.33×	50m	25m	Low first	0.17	0.00%	+0.11%	24.16%	0.35%	$49.15M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	15:05	19:05	+0.63%	+1.12×	+1.44×	-0.33×	3h55m	25m	Low first	0.27	0.00%	+0.63%	19.06%	0.99%	$195.42M	17:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	15:05	03:05	+0.34%	+0.61×	+1.55×	-0.33×	6h50m	25m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.34%	22.47%	1.05%	$590.71M	17:15 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	15:05	15:05	+2.11%	+3.78×	+5.09×	-0.33×	21h35m	25m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	+2.11%	34.22%	3.03%	$2.04B	17:15 / 04:45	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T18:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}