Observation #45419

← Research Observations / #45419

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.077752

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,037,481

Synced: 10-20 16:02 +1h

← Prev (10-20 14:00) Next (10-20 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3793

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 14:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00005964

Settled at: 2026-10-20 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)736,996,320.00

OI (USD)$57,328,733

Mark price$0.077787

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,857,700

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.213%

Change 4h +0.796%

Change 24h +1.813%

Z-score 7d -0.30

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 84.7%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -2.048%

Divergence -1.16

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.883

OI / Vol z-7d

1.64

OI momentum 4h

+0.241%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+47 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #365221	fresh	19h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.388	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	late 24b -1.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.46	40%	↓ -0.42	value	-4.07	—	#178997	0.54	bull_high	+6.31%	-0.97	18/10 20:00 upd 19/10 20:24	↗
4h #370670	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.391	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	early 11b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.24	41%	↔ -0.08	above_value	-1.17	—	#181387	0.56	range_high	+0.00%	-0.58	20/10 08:00 upd 20/10 12:16	↗
1h anchor #371722	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.667	expansion	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 41%	early 4b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.03	55%	↑ +0.61	above_value	-0.67	—	#181894	0.64	range_medium	+0.64%	+0.09	20/10 14:00 upd 20/10 15:11	↗
15m #371648	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.594	normal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.07	6%	↓ -0.43	above_value	-0.36	—	#181739	0.77	range_low	+0.53%	-0.03	20/10 14:45 upd 20/10 15:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #214225	fresh	2026-10-20 14:00	0s	0.548	0.499	43/77	2026-10-20 15:00	2026-10-20 15:37
4h #214003	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	3h	0.503	0.411	63/70	2026-10-20 12:00	2026-10-20 12:39
1d #212692	fresh	2026-10-18 20:00	19h	0.235	0.188	62/65	2026-10-19 20:00	2026-10-19 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #181816	fresh	2026-10-20 14:45	0s	$0.076162	$0.077767	$0.074942	hvn	2.56	4.56
7d #181894	fresh	2026-10-20 14:00	0s	$0.078286	$0.083451	$0.074952	hvn	-0.67	7.35
30d #181456	fresh	2026-10-20 08:00	3h	$0.096445	$0.117825	$0.090053	between	-7.60	11.86

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.078837 → $0.079223	0.49%	0.62	0.62	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001085	-1.75
below	$0.079308 → $0.079822	0.65%	0.83	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001556	-2.51

Prix observé : $0.077752. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.074952	2.83%	1.81	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002800	+2.42
below	$0.086851 → $0.088551	1.94%	1.47	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009099	-7.87

Prix observé : $0.077752. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.077709	6.44%	2.07	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000043	+0.02
below	$0.117384 → $0.125760	6.89%	3.58	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.039632	-16.92

Prix observé : $0.077752. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T18:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}