Observation #45502

← Research Observations / #45502

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-20 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.042987

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,111,175

Synced: 10-20 17:02 +1h

← Prev (10-20 15:00) Next (10-20 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6667

evaluated_at: 2026-10-20 15:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000071

Settled at: 2026-10-20 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)161,997,374.00

OI (USD)$6,979,009

Mark price$0.043081

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,119,794

Snapshot at: 2026-10-20 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.369%

Change 4h —

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 82.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

— undetermined

Price Δ 4h -1.086%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.306

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

—

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1366 crowded

Time: 2026-10-20 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 59 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #371443	fresh	20h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.630	expansion	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 32%	early 17b -0.1ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.34	36%	↓ -0.35	above_value	-0.12	—	#181744	0.40	bull_high	+6.31%	+0.59	18/10 20:00 upd 20/10 14:20	↗
4h #372200	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.415	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 35%	early 11b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.02	61%	↑ +0.22	value	-0.58	—	#182055	0.42	range_high	-0.04%	-0.45	20/10 12:00 upd 20/10 16:19	↗
1h anchor #372198	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.781	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 5b -0.5ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	0.81	74%	↑ +0.64	value	-0.58	—	#182055	0.53	range_medium	+0.67%	-0.31	20/10 15:00 upd 20/10 16:19	↗
15m #371953	fresh	15min	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.366	compression	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 44%	early 14b -0.8ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.14	31%	↓ -0.77	below_value	-0.73	—	#181899	0.62	range_low	+0.59%	-0.28	20/10 15:30 upd 20/10 15:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #214309	fresh	2026-10-20 15:00	0s	0.469	0.424	71/77	2026-10-20 16:00
4h #214386	fresh	2026-10-20 12:00	0s	0.417	0.388	71/77	2026-10-20 16:00
1d	stale	2026-10-14 20:00	4.8d	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #181977	fresh	2026-10-20 15:45	0s	$0.043181	$0.043918	$0.042758	value	-0.63	3.78
7d #182055	fresh	2026-10-20 15:00	0s	$0.043329	$0.046707	$0.042855	value	-0.59	5.94
30d #182133	fresh	2026-10-20 12:00	0s	$0.043941	$0.049569	$0.042588	value	-0.64	4.40

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.042444 → $0.042758	0.74%	1.02	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000229	+0.75
below	$0.044527 → $0.044802	0.62%	0.90	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001540	-5.02

Prix observé : $0.042987. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.041529 → $0.042350	1.96%	1.27	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000637	+0.98
below	$0.048033 → $0.049106	2.21%	1.66	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005046	-7.78

Prix observé : $0.042987. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.039168 → $0.041305	5.31%	1.35	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001682	+1.06
below	$0.054129 → $0.056266	3.87%	1.35	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011142	-7.02

Prix observé : $0.042987. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T19:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-20T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}