Observation #46366

← Research Observations / #46366

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 04:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

03:00–04:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

04:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

05:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$83,128.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,447,459,600

Synced: 10-21 05:15 +1.3h

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* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7944

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 03:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00019209

Settled at: 2026-10-21 04:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,872.32

OI (USD)$3,399,105,611

Mark price$83,164.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,453,728,654

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 03:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.192%

Change 4h -0.390%

Change 24h +2.315%

Z-score 7d -0.32

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.504%

Divergence 1.15

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.368

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.32

OI momentum 4h

-0.120%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+58 crowded

Time: 2026-10-21 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #373684	fresh	8h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.634	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 29b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.08	57%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+3.39	—	#182691	—	—	—	—	19/10 20:00 upd 20/10 20:15	↗
4h #376969	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.666	normal	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 36%	early 7b 0.8ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.26	8%	↔ +0.03	above_value	+3.25	—	#183936	—	—	—	—	21/10 00:00 upd 21/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #376968	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.470	normal	bull_medium	59%	noisy_chop 42%	late 2b 1.6ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.33	23%	↓ -0.80	above_value	+3.25	—	#183936	—	—	—	—	21/10 03:00 upd 21/10 04:05	↗
15m #376891	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.501	expansion	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 41%	late 8b 1.7ATR	—	near -0.5ATR	1.00	25%	↑ +0.26	above_value	+3.25	—	#183936	—	—	—	—	21/10 03:45 upd 21/10 04:00	↗
5m #376890	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.702	volatile_reversal	range_low	34%	noisy_chop 44%	late 3b 1.8ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.86	49%	↑ +0.70	above_value	+3.25	—	#183936	—	—	—	—	21/10 03:55 upd 21/10 04:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #215473	fresh	2026-10-21 03:00	0s	0.502	0.566	66/75	2026-10-21 04:00	2026-10-21 04:35
4h #215548	fresh	2026-10-21 00:00	0s	0.503	0.533	44/75	2026-10-21 04:00	2026-10-21 04:37
1d #214783	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	8h	0.538	0.550	14/77	2026-10-20 20:00	2026-10-20 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #184013	fresh	2026-10-21 03:45	0s	$82,778.65	$83,230.21	$82,327.08	value	2.33	6.01
7d #184089	fresh	2026-10-21 03:00	0s	$81,608.62	$82,555.53	$81,006.03	between	4.13	4.21
30d #184165	fresh	2026-10-21 00:00	0s	$83,504.76	$84,955.83	$81,279.80	value	-0.95	4.83

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$81,707.29 → $82,167.71	0.56%	3.06	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $960.29	+6.39

Prix observé : $83,128.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,420.67	0.86%	1.87	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,707.33	+7.36
below	$83,450.80 → $83,864.00	0.49%	1.12	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $322.80	-0.88

Prix observé : $83,128.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,892.85	1.45%	1.52	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,235.15	+2.93
below	$86,697.10 → $87,471.00	0.89%	1.02	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,569.10	-4.68

Prix observé : $83,128.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	04:05	04:20	-0.04%	-0.09×	+0.11×	-0.17×	5m	15m	High first	0.34	0.00%	-0.04%	27.01%	0.13%	$5.39M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	04:05	05:05	+0.13%	+0.28×	+1.45×	-0.17×	50m	15m	Low first	0.09	0.00%	+0.13%	58.30%	0.75%	$109.41M	04:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	04:05	08:05	+0.51%	+1.10×	+1.45×	-0.17×	50m	15m	Low first	0.14	0.00%	+0.51%	36.01%	0.75%	$257.41M	04:45 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	04:05	16:05	+1.71%	+3.69×	+4.43×	-0.17×	8h35m	15m	Low first	0.13	0.00%	+1.71%	42.17%	2.13%	$1.47B	04:45 / 09:55	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	04:05	04:05	-1.15%	-2.48×	+4.43×	-2.74×	8h35m	1d	High first	0.05	0.00%	-1.15%	35.92%	3.33%	$3.08B	04:45 / 09:55	23:20 / 03:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T07:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T07:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}