Observation #47555

← Research Observations / #47555

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.289400

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,721,995

Synced: 10-21 20:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-21 18:00) Next (10-21 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_expansion

Environmenttrend_expansion

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5028

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 18:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00003994

Settled at: 2026-10-21 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)80,508,866.00

OI (USD)$23,271,088

Mark price$0.289050

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,671,425

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 18:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #373921	fresh	23h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 46%	—	—	—	0.32	2%	↓ -0.43	below_value	-10.70	inside	#182767	—	bull_high	+7.54%	-1.00	19/10 20:00 upd 20/10 20:27	↗
4h #381984	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.491	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early 17b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.91	20%	↓ -0.52	value	+0.41	—	#186175	0.33	bull_high	+2.13%	+0.14	21/10 12:00 upd 21/10 16:19	↗
1h anchor #383108	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.677	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 34%	early 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	0.45	12%	↑ +0.37	above_value	+0.12	—	#186695	0.49	bull_medium	+2.07%	-0.02	21/10 18:00 upd 21/10 19:11	↗
15m #383032	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.518	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 5b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.23	7%	↓ -0.62	value	+0.88	—	#186545	0.64	bull_low	+0.79%	-0.11	21/10 18:45 upd 21/10 19:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #216953	fresh	2026-10-21 18:00	0s	0.529	0.571	40/74	2026-10-21 19:00	2026-10-21 19:37
4h #216730	fresh	2026-10-21 12:00	3h	0.431	0.445	71/74	2026-10-21 16:00	2026-10-21 16:39
1d #214858	fresh	2026-10-19 20:00	23h	0.223	0.184	77/77	2026-10-20 20:00	2026-10-20 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #186620	fresh	2026-10-21 18:45	0s	$0.289189	$0.293011	$0.284301	hvn	0.08	3.19
7d #186695	fresh	2026-10-21 18:00	0s	$0.288633	$0.321144	$0.256123	hvn	0.12	10.41
30d #186249	fresh	2026-10-21 12:00	3h	$0.535405	$0.740760	$0.367388	hvn	-18.23	27.62

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.276480 → $0.280035	1.28%	1.30	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009365	+3.43
below	$0.296388 → $0.297810	0.48%	0.52	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006988	-2.56

Prix observé : $0.289400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242930 → $0.252353	3.81%	1.51	0.45	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.037047	+5.93
below	$0.321144 → $0.327740	2.03%	1.06	0.31	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.031744	-5.08
below	$0.329625 → $0.333394	1.14%	0.60	0.32	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.040225	-6.44
below	$0.347529 → $0.356010	2.41%	1.36	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.058129	-9.30

Prix observé : $0.289400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242930 → $0.255376	5.00%	0.92	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.034024	+2.52
below	$0.433765 → $0.504291	15.04%	5.22	0.74	reversion	✓	↓ $0.144365	-10.68
below	$0.566519 → $0.583114	2.89%	1.23	0.55	reversion	✓	↓ $0.277119	-20.50
below	$0.715869 → $0.740760	3.42%	1.84	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.426469	-31.55

Prix observé : $0.289400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T22:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-21T22:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}