Observation #47779

← Research Observations / #47779

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.278990

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,418,729

Synced: 10-21 23:02 +1h

← Prev (10-21 21:00) Next (10-21 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.2414

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 21:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001578

Settled at: 2026-10-21 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)80,334,416.00

OI (USD)$22,368,315

Mark price$0.278440

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,511,362

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383785	fresh	2h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 44%	—	—	—	0.31	2%	↓ -0.56	above_value	-0.44	inside	#186843	—	bull_high	+8.71%	-1.00	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:27	↗
4h #383665	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.491	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 18b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.51	4%	↓ -0.40	above_value	-0.44	—	#186843	0.33	bull_high	+1.60%	+0.47	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:22	↗
1h anchor #384466	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.638	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 7b -1.1ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.70	27%	↔ -0.12	above_value	-0.63	—	#187211	0.50	range_medium	+0.73%	-0.16	21/10 21:00 upd 21/10 22:12	↗
15m #384391	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.597	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 45%	late 4b -2.9ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.15	2%	↓ -0.44	above_value	-0.06	—	#187063	0.67	range_low	-0.53%	-0.21	21/10 21:45 upd 21/10 22:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217318	fresh	2026-10-21 21:00	0s	0.442	0.410	72/74	2026-10-21 22:00	2026-10-21 22:37
4h #217099	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	2h	0.379	0.366	69/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:39
1d #217172	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	2h	0.276	0.283	72/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187137	fresh	2026-10-21 21:45	0s	$0.289156	$0.292390	$0.283998	lvn LVN	-3.41	2.82
7d #187211	fresh	2026-10-21 21:00	0s	$0.288633	$0.319259	$0.255180	hvn	-0.63	10.69
30d #186917	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	2h	$0.535405	$0.740760	$0.367388	hvn	-18.83	28.40

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.276830 → $0.279977	1.13%	1.06	0.91	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.296237 → $0.297810	0.53%	0.53	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.017247	-5.79

Prix observé : $0.278990. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242930 → $0.251411	3.43%	1.41	0.45	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.027579	+4.60
below	$0.320201 → $0.328682	2.61%	1.41	0.40	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.041211	-6.87
below	$0.329625 → $0.333394	1.14%	0.63	0.41	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.050635	-8.44
below	$0.348471 → $0.356010	2.14%	1.26	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.069481	-11.59

Prix observé : $0.278990. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.242930 → $0.255376	5.00%	0.95	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.023614	+1.80
below	$0.437913 → $0.500142	13.27%	4.73	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.158923	-12.09
below	$0.570668 → $0.599708	4.96%	2.21	0.60	reversion	✓	↓ $0.291678	-22.19
below	$0.720017 → $0.740760	2.84%	1.58	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.441027	-33.55

Prix observé : $0.278990. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T01:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}