Observation #47830

← Research Observations / #47830

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.180510

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,010,469

Synced: 10-22 00:01 +1h

← Prev (10-21 22:00) Next (10-22 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1548

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 22:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029570

Settled at: 2026-10-21 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)78,643,962.00

OI (USD)$14,168,496

Mark price$0.180160

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,745,582

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.909%

Change 4h -1.518%

Change 24h +3.571%

Z-score 7d -1.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 82.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.051%

Divergence -1.08

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

9.363

OI / Vol z-7d

1.13

OI momentum 4h

-1.306%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+78 crowded

Time: 2026-10-21 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 162 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383711	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.399	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 22b -0.8ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.78	62%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+3.60	—	#186818	0.58	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.93	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:24	↗
4h #383539	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.639	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 47%	early 19b 0.9ATR	—	near -2.2ATR	0.23	4%	↓ -0.15	above_value	+3.60	—	#186818	0.73	bull_high	+1.60%	+0.15	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:17	↗
1h anchor #384823	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.538	expansion_after_compression	range_high	36%	noisy_chop 38%	late 8b -1.9ATR	—	—	2.57	92%	↔ -0.06	value	-1.03	—	#187337	0.81	range_medium	+0.15%	-0.15	21/10 22:00 upd 21/10 23:10	↗
15m #384747	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.736	volatile_reversal	bear_low_confirmed	32%	choppy 52%	late 6b -3.7ATR	—	—	2.28	89%	↑ +0.92	above_value	+0.01	—	#187186	0.84	bear_low_confirmed	-1.02%	-0.04	21/10 22:45 upd 21/10 23:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #217367	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	0.617	0.451	13/75	2026-10-21 23:00
4h #217075	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	0.492	0.458	46/73	2026-10-21 20:00
1d #217148	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	3h	0.342	0.296	60/73	2026-10-21 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187261	fresh	2026-10-21 22:45	0s	$0.183732	$0.186674	$0.183354	between	-4.75	4.90
7d #187337	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	$0.182012	$0.184543	$0.176883	value	-1.03	5.24
30d #186892	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	$0.217852	$0.235657	$0.204978	between	-11.18	10.15

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.182480 → $0.183354	0.48%	1.29	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001970	-2.90
below	$0.186790 → $0.187140	0.19%	0.52	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006280	-9.25

Prix observé : $0.180510. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.171560 → $0.174676	1.80%	2.13	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005834	+3.99
below	$0.186361 → $0.187140	0.42%	0.53	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005851	-4.00

Prix observé : $0.180510. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.171560 → $0.175395	2.21%	1.27	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005115	+1.69
below	$0.185256 → $0.190734	2.91%	1.81	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.004746	-1.57
below	$0.192378 → $0.194021	0.85%	0.54	0.52	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.011868	-3.93
below	$0.204978 → $0.207169	1.06%	0.73	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.024468	-8.10
below	$0.234013 → $0.237300	1.39%	1.09	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.053503	-17.70

Prix observé : $0.180510. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}