Observation #47835

← Research Observations / #47835

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.3052

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,952,411

Synced: 10-22 00:02 +1h

← Prev (10-21 22:00) Next (10-22 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1548

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 22:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00021232

Settled at: 2026-10-21 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)3,136,869.00

OI (USD)$7,237,384

Mark price$2.3072

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,977,594

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.103%

Change 4h -1.444%

Change 24h +2.662%

Z-score 7d -0.11

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 85.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.041%

Divergence -0.95

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.672

OI / Vol z-7d

0.18

OI momentum 4h

-0.726%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+749 crowded

Time: 2026-10-21 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 147 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383723	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.683	compression	range_high	31%	noisy_chop 38%	early 26b -0.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	1.28	73%	↔ +0.05	value	-0.76	—	#186822	0.50	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.71	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:24	↗
4h #383559	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.593	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 41%	early 14b -0.6ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.21	13%	↔ +0.06	value	-0.76	—	#186822	0.52	bull_high	+1.60%	-0.21	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:18	↗
1h anchor #384828	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.432	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late 11b -1.9ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.64	62%	↓ -0.73	below_value	-2.55	—	#187342	0.60	range_medium	+0.15%	-0.07	21/10 22:00 upd 21/10 23:10	↗
15m #384752	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.480	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	65%	ranging_calm 54%	late 6b -2.8ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.46	27%	↑ +0.58	value	-1.63	—	#187191	0.49	bear_low_confirmed	-1.02%	-0.14	21/10 22:45 upd 21/10 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217372	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	0.423	0.360	75/75	2026-10-21 23:00	2026-10-21 23:36
4h #217079	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	0.409	0.384	66/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:38
1d #217152	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	3h	0.308	0.314	67/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187266	fresh	2026-10-21 22:45	0s	$2.3285	$2.3967	$2.3036	value	-1.75	7.01
7d #187342	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	$2.3900	$2.4672	$2.3102	between	-2.55	4.71
30d #186896	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	$2.4928	$2.6989	$2.3057	value	-1.66	4.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.3508 → $2.3603	0.40%	0.71	0.51	reversion	✓	↓ $0.045600	-3.43
below	$2.4197 → $2.4426	0.94%	1.73	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.114450	-8.61

Prix observé : $2.3052. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2579 → $2.2815	1.04%	0.71	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.023750	+0.71
below	$2.5170 → $2.5719	2.16%	1.65	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.211750	-6.36

Prix observé : $2.3052. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2233 → $2.2867	2.81%	0.80	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018483	+0.23
below	$2.8575 → $2.9843	4.34%	1.61	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.552267	-6.99

Prix observé : $2.3052. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}