Observation #47838

← Research Observations / #47838

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.083108

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,567,512

Synced: 10-22 00:02 +1h

← Prev (10-21 22:00) Next (10-22 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1548

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 22:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00018628

Settled at: 2026-10-21 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)62,116,760.00

OI (USD)$5,155,629

Mark price$0.082999

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,568,565

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.273%

Change 4h +2.718%

Change 24h +1.739%

Z-score 7d 0.26

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.003932%

Avg 24h -0.002401%

Percentile 7d 5.4%

Percentile 30d 1.3%

Δ 4h -0.001155%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -2.735%

Divergence -1.83

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.041

OI / Vol z-7d

0.08

OI momentum 4h

+1.705%

Funding +ratio 24h

24.0%

Sign streak

-11 crowded

Time: 2026-10-21 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 163 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383733	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.614	compression	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 16b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.73	84%	↑ +0.20	value	-1.16	—	#186825	0.29	bull_high	+8.71%	+0.21	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:25	↗
4h #383574	fresh	3h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.684	compression	range_high	45%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.0ATR	—	near -1.1ATR	0.50	37%	↑ +0.33	value	-1.16	—	#186825	0.17	bull_high	+1.60%	+0.45	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:18	↗
1h anchor #384831	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.498	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 8b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.64	47%	↓ -0.29	below_value	-2.03	—	#187345	0.25	range_medium	+0.15%	-0.40	21/10 22:00 upd 21/10 23:10	↗
15m #384755	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.647	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 42%	late 3b -2.0ATR	—	—	0.34	26%	↓ -0.46	value	-1.19	—	#187194	0.26	bear_low_confirmed	-1.02%	-0.18	21/10 22:45 upd 21/10 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217375	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	0.450	0.403	69/75	2026-10-21 23:00	2026-10-21 23:36
4h #217082	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	0.446	0.586	57/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:38
1d #217155	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	3h	0.446	0.553	27/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187269	fresh	2026-10-21 22:45	0s	$0.084977	$0.086558	$0.084764	lvn LVN	-2.41	2.32
7d #187345	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	$0.086424	$0.090389	$0.083935	between	-2.03	3.95
30d #186899	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	$0.086496	$0.115499	$0.079331	hvn	-0.39	9.44

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.082782 → $0.084340	1.86%	2.01	0.87	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.083108. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072869 → $0.074898	2.75%	1.24	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008210	+5.02
above	$0.075082 → $0.076373	1.70%	0.79	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006735	+4.12
below	$0.092971 → $0.095000	2.16%	1.24	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009863	-6.03

Prix observé : $0.083108. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.067730 → $0.075919	11.40%	2.14	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007189	+1.88
below	$0.137337 → $0.149620	8.56%	3.21	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.054229	-14.15

Prix observé : $0.083108. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}