Observation #4784

← Research Observations / #4784

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-09-28 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.226800

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $11,137,044

Synced: 09-28 10:01 +1h

← Prev (09-28 08:00) Next (09-28 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6759

evaluated_at: 2026-09-28 08:46:22 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.005660%

Annualized49.58%

Premium0.00095278

Settled at: 2026-09-28 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)91,319,920.00

OI (USD)$20,851,077

Mark price$0.228330

Funding next0.005533%

Day vol (USD)$9,879,134

Snapshot at: 2026-09-28 08:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.675%

Change 4h +5.098%

Change 24h +16.239%

Z-score 7d 0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001919%

Percentile 7d 35.1%

Percentile 30d 83.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +8.067%

Divergence 3.68 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.212

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.71

OI momentum 4h

+11.049%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+266 crowded

Time: 2026-09-28 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #156475	fresh	13h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.605	volatile_reversal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 16b 1.1ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.64	72%	↑ +0.58	above_value	-0.93	—	#88072	0.59	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.41	26/09 20:00 upd 27/09 20:25	↗
4h #161422	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.648	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 37%	early 17b -0.4ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	1.69	94%	↑ +0.22	value	-1.76	—	#90267	0.71	bull_high	+1.40%	-0.15	28/09 04:00 upd 28/09 08:20	↗
1h anchor #161829	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.665	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 44%	late 5b 2.6ATR	—	near -1.8ATR	4.23	100%	↑ +0.76	above_value	+2.16	inside	#90519	0.61	range_medium	-0.56%	+0.54	28/09 08:00 upd 28/09 09:11	↗
15m #161749	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.603	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	ranging_calm 52%	late 6b 3.8ATR	—	—	2.95	97%	↑ +0.55	value	-1.76	—	#90267	0.56	range_low	-0.12%	+0.67	28/09 08:45 upd 28/09 09:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #162144	fresh	2026-09-28 08:00	0s	0.813	0.670	5/83	2026-09-28 09:00	2026-09-28 09:36
4h #162061	fresh	2026-09-28 04:00	1h	0.608	0.603	21/83	2026-09-28 08:00	2026-09-28 08:39
1d #160846	fresh	2026-09-26 20:00	13h	0.553	0.769	63/78	2026-09-27 20:00	2026-09-27 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #90435	fresh	2026-09-28 08:45	0s	$0.215615	$0.219498	$0.209739	between	4.23	3.69
7d #90519	fresh	2026-09-28 08:00	0s	$0.217840	$0.220539	$0.210028	lvn LVN	2.16	2.53
30d #90351	fresh	2026-09-28 04:00	1h	$0.185008	$0.210314	$0.172703	between	4.76	6.59

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.219697 → $0.225672	2.68%	2.26	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.001128	+0.43

Prix observé : $0.226800. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.196960 → $0.199801	1.43%	0.68	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.026999	+6.51
inside	$0.225652 → $0.231050	2.36%	1.30	0.86	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.226800. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.201492 → $0.207064	2.73%	0.98	0.54	reversion	✓	↑ $0.019736	+3.46
inside	$0.222851 → $0.227030	1.86%	0.73	0.72	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.226800. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T12:46:22+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 818,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T12:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-09-28T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}