Observation #47848

← Research Observations / #47848

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-21 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.824630

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,841,694

Synced: 10-22 00:02 +1h

← Prev (10-21 22:00) Next (10-22 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1548

evaluated_at: 2026-10-21 22:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001523

Settled at: 2026-10-21 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,505,072.00

OI (USD)$34,102,642

Mark price$0.821650

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,852,427

Snapshot at: 2026-10-21 22:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.042%

Change 4h -0.346%

Change 24h +1.681%

Z-score 7d -0.14

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 76.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.903%

Divergence 0.76

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.279

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.55

OI momentum 4h

-0.686%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+75 crowded

Time: 2026-10-21 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383763	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.593	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 37%	early 10b -0.2ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	1.05	88%	↔ +0.10	value	-3.83	—	#186835	0.63	bull_high	+8.71%	+0.37	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:26	↗
4h #383625	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.480	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b -0.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	1.62	82%	↑ +0.18	value	-3.83	—	#186835	0.51	bull_high	+1.60%	-0.20	21/10 16:00 upd 21/10 20:20	↗
1h anchor #384841	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.504	expansion	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 41%	early 1b -1.2ATR	—	—	1.60	89%	↑ +0.66	value	-3.06	—	#187355	0.56	range_medium	+0.15%	-0.28	21/10 22:00 upd 21/10 23:11	↗
15m #384765	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.405	expansion	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.23	31%	↓ -0.42	value	-2.48	—	#187204	0.48	bear_low_confirmed	-1.02%	+0.14	21/10 22:45 upd 21/10 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217384	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	0.556	0.405	32/75	2026-10-21 23:00	2026-10-21 23:37
4h #217091	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	0.446	0.341	56/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:38
1d #217164	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	3h	0.417	0.516	39/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187279	fresh	2026-10-21 22:45	0s	$0.861042	$0.867923	$0.830717	between	-5.03	5.14
7d #187355	fresh	2026-10-21 22:00	0s	$0.865319	$0.895118	$0.790370	value	-3.06	7.87
30d #186909	fresh	2026-10-21 16:00	3h	$0.803689	$0.905628	$0.778573	hvn	0.38	4.26

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.866903 → $0.872000	0.59%	0.70	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.042273	-5.84

Prix observé : $0.824630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.900536 → $0.911372	1.20%	0.81	0.53	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.075906	-5.70
below	$0.936656 → $0.980000	4.52%	3.26	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.112026	-8.42

Prix observé : $0.824630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.639700 → $0.672202	4.96%	1.09	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.152428	+5.11
above	$0.728343 → $0.763800	4.75%	1.19	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.060830	+2.04
below	$0.973587 → $0.994270	2.10%	0.69	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.148957	-4.99

Prix observé : $0.824630. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}