Observation #48011

← Research Observations / #48011

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,807.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,020,661,186

Synced: 10-22 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 01:00) Next (10-22 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0833

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 01:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00013547

Settled at: 2026-10-22 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,175.26

OI (USD)$3,322,212,982

Mark price$82,693.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,844,990,413

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 01:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.475%

Change 4h -1.764%

Change 24h -2.303%

Z-score 7d 0.63

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000798%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.0%

Δ 4h +0.001142%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.676%

Divergence 0.14

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.171

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.56

OI momentum 4h

-1.994%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-22 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	6h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #385167	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.683	expansion	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 39%	early 2b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.86	89%	↔ +0.06	above_value	+2.96	—	#187289	—	—	—	—	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #386036	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.533	expansion_after_compression	range_medium	37%	noisy_chop 39%	late 8b -1.8ATR	near -0.9ATR	—	0.42	44%	↑ +0.18	value	+1.94	—	#187673	—	—	—	—	22/10 01:00 upd 22/10 02:05	↗
15m #385958	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.510	expansion	bear_low	50%	noisy_chop 48%	mid 2b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.39	57%	↓ -0.73	value	+1.94	—	#187673	—	—	—	—	22/10 01:45 upd 22/10 02:00	↗
5m #385957	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.400	normal	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 43%	early 6b -0.3ATR	near -0.6ATR	near -0.3ATR	2.21	61%	↑ +0.45	value	+1.94	—	#187673	—	—	—	—	22/10 01:55 upd 22/10 02:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217623	fresh	2026-10-22 01:00	0s	0.543	0.482	23/75	2026-10-22 02:00	2026-10-22 02:35
4h #217470	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	2h	0.612	0.482	13/76	2026-10-22 00:00	2026-10-22 00:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	6h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187750	fresh	2026-10-22 01:45	0s	$84,452.61	$84,794.55	$83,371.33	hvn	-8.13	7.03
7d #187826	fresh	2026-10-22 01:00	0s	$82,056.43	$82,930.75	$81,011.50	value	1.73	4.44
30d #187519	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	2h	$83,500.83	$84,799.33	$81,442.23	value	-0.76	3.87

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$82,632.00 → $82,742.90	0.13%	0.55	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $64.1000	+0.32
below	$83,038.63 → $83,204.98	0.20%	0.82	0.47	reversion	—	↓ $231.63	-1.14
below	$83,907.35 → $84,036.73	0.15%	0.64	0.50	reversion	✓	↓ $1,100.35	-5.43

Prix observé : $82,807.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,585.00	1.06%	1.97	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,222.00	+5.13
below	$83,698.45 → $84,039.65	0.41%	0.79	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $891.45	-2.06

Prix observé : $82,807.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.31	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,934.85	+2.23
below	$86,572.90 → $87,333.00	0.87%	0.88	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3,765.90	-4.34

Prix observé : $82,807.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	02:05	02:20	-0.04%	-0.08×	+0.16×	-0.08×	5m	15m	High first	0.97	0.00%	-0.04%	9.97%	0.12%	$17.39M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	02:05	03:05	-0.39%	-0.74×	+0.16×	-0.84×	5m	1h	High first	0.81	0.00%	-0.39%	18.05%	0.52%	$146.63M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	02:05	06:05	-0.86%	-1.66×	+0.16×	-2.72×	5m	3h10m	High first	0.31	0.00%	-0.86%	24.51%	1.50%	$674.66M	— / —	03:05 / 04:30	—	100%
12h	computed	02:05	14:05	-2.11%	-4.04×	+0.16×	-4.36×	5m	10h50m	High first	0.19	0.00%	-2.11%	36.09%	2.36%	$2.12B	— / —	03:05 / 04:30	—	100%
1d	computed	02:05	02:05	-1.22%	-2.34×	+0.16×	-4.36×	5m	10h50m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.22%	31.86%	2.36%	$3.08B	— / —	03:05 / 04:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T05:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T05:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}