Observation #48014

← Research Observations / #48014

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.3810

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,376,716

Synced: 10-22 03:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 01:00) Next (10-22 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakout_attempt

Environmentrange_with_momentum

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0833

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 01:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.002996%

Annualized-26.25%

Premium-0.00073970

Settled at: 2026-10-22 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,157,736.90

OI (USD)$20,203,538

Mark price$9.3633

Funding next-0.003028%

Day vol (USD)$6,360,320

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 01:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.240%

Change 4h +4.151%

Change 24h +4.784%

Z-score 7d 2.25 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002904%

Avg 24h 0.000650%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.4%

Δ 4h -0.001720%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.419%

Divergence -3.99 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.223

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.03

OI momentum 4h

+3.767%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-22 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383517	fresh	6h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.591	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 32%	mid 22b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.43	49%	↓ -0.62	value	+0.71	—	#186774	0.71	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.83	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:16	↗
4h #385173	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.381	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 2b -1.4ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	3.35	67%	↑ +0.34	below_value	-1.93	—	#187445	0.60	range_high	+0.24%	-0.20	21/10 20:00 upd 22/10 00:11	↗
1h anchor #386039	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.437	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late 11b -2.2ATR	—	—	0.45	52%	↑ +0.38	below_value	-1.81	—	#187829	0.77	range_medium	+0.04%	-0.25	22/10 01:00 upd 22/10 02:09	↗
15m #385961	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.496	expansion	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 2b -1.5ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.30	65%	↓ -0.82	below_value	-1.61	—	#187676	0.84	bear_low	-0.91%	-0.14	22/10 01:45 upd 22/10 02:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217626	fresh	2026-10-22 01:00	0s	0.481	0.367	43/75	2026-10-22 02:00	2026-10-22 02:35
4h #217473	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	2h	0.517	0.282	35/76	2026-10-22 00:00	2026-10-22 00:37
1d #217104	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	6h	0.306	0.372	68/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #187753	fresh	2026-10-22 01:45	0s	$9.3708	$9.8054	$9.3122	hvn	0.19	9.35
7d #187829	fresh	2026-10-22 01:00	0s	$9.5776	$9.9931	$9.4777	between	-1.82	4.76
30d #187522	fresh	2026-10-21 20:00	2h	$11.0407	$11.4205	$10.3387	lvn LVN	-7.03	4.54

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$9.4787 → $9.5095	0.32%	0.58	0.54	reversion	✓	↓ $0.097655	-1.85
below	$9.5341 → $9.5711	0.39%	0.70	0.54	reversion	✓	↓ $0.153140	-2.90
below	$9.5835 → $9.6205	0.39%	0.70	0.51	reversion	✓	↓ $0.202460	-3.84
below	$9.9719 → $10.0520	0.80%	1.52	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.590855	-11.20

Prix observé : $9.3810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$10.0983 → $10.2560	1.55%	1.46	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.717267	-6.62
below	$10.4033 → $10.5190	1.11%	1.07	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1.0223	-9.44

Prix observé : $9.3810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$9.2568 → $9.5330	2.94%	1.16	0.80	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$11.6047 → $12.0190	3.51%	1.74	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2.2237	-9.32

Prix observé : $9.3810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T05:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T05:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}