Observation #48240

← Research Observations / #48240

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,829.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,268,104,626

Synced: 10-22 06:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 04:00) Next (10-22 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_bound

Environmentrange_bound

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0893

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 04:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00025943

Settled at: 2026-10-22 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)40,731.32

OI (USD)$3,335,895,088

Mark price$81,900.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,125,213,239

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +1.000%

Change 4h -0.216%

Change 24h -2.610%

Z-score 7d 1.31

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000798%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.304%

Divergence -1.77

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.069

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.68

OI momentum 4h

+2.396%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	9h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #386819	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.667	expansion	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b -0.4ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.64	40%	↔ +0.14	above_value	+0.99	—	#187977	—	—	—	—	22/10 00:00 upd 22/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #387292	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.332	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 48%	late 11b -3.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	1.23	86%	↔ -0.08	above_value	+0.28	—	#188129	—	—	—	—	22/10 04:00 upd 22/10 05:05	↗
15m #387214	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.497	compression	bear_low_confirmed	50%	choppy 50%	late 14b -4.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.92	86%	↑ +0.74	above_value	+0.28	—	#188129	—	—	—	—	22/10 04:45 upd 22/10 05:00	↗
5m #387213	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.747	expansion	bear_low_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 12b -2.2ATR	—	—	1.84	88%	↑ +0.49	above_value	+0.28	—	#188129	—	—	—	—	22/10 04:55 upd 22/10 05:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #217925	fresh	2026-10-22 04:00	0s	0.572	0.435	15/76	2026-10-22 05:00	2026-10-22 05:35
4h #217847	fresh	2026-10-22 00:00	1h	0.544	0.474	17/76	2026-10-22 04:00	2026-10-22 04:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	9h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #188283	fresh	2026-10-22 04:45	0s	$84,532.29	$84,799.17	$82,969.17	lvn LVN	-14.57	9.86
7d #188360	fresh	2026-10-22 04:00	0s	$82,099.08	$82,930.75	$81,054.15	hvn	-0.62	4.32
30d #188206	fresh	2026-10-22 00:00	1h	$83,500.83	$84,799.33	$81,442.23	value	-1.25	3.92

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$81,800.00 → $82,105.00	0.37%	1.64	0.57	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$82,333.75 → $82,460.83	0.15%	0.68	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↓ $504.75	-2.72
below	$82,562.50 → $82,689.58	0.15%	0.68	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↓ $733.50	-3.95
below	$83,070.83 → $83,197.92	0.15%	0.68	0.61	reversion	✓	↓ $1,241.83	-6.69

Prix observé : $81,829.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,585.00	1.06%	1.97	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,244.00	+2.87
below	$83,698.45 → $84,039.65	0.41%	0.79	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,869.45	-4.31

Prix observé : $81,829.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,872.15	1.42%	1.33	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $956.85	+1.12
below	$86,572.90 → $87,333.00	0.87%	0.89	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4,743.90	-5.54

Prix observé : $81,829.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	05:05	05:20	+0.17%	+0.32×	+0.32×	-0.35×	15m	10m	Low first	0.85	0.00%	+0.17%	15.14%	0.35%	$65.33M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	05:05	06:05	+0.38%	+0.73×	+0.74×	-0.35×	1h	10m	Low first	0.48	0.00%	+0.38%	27.69%	0.57%	$160.04M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	05:05	09:05	-0.09%	-0.18×	+0.95×	-0.35×	1h40m	10m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	-0.09%	22.88%	0.68%	$469.10M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	05:05	17:05	-0.63%	-1.20×	+0.95×	-2.01×	1h40m	7h50m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-0.63%	35.89%	1.54%	$1.81B	— / —	11:10 / 12:50	—	100%
1d	computed	05:05	05:05	+0.06%	+0.12×	+0.95×	-2.01×	1h40m	7h50m	High first	0.00	0.00%	+0.06%	31.61%	1.54%	$2.68B	— / —	11:10 / 12:50	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T08:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}