Observation #48552

← Research Observations / #48552

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.184620

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $18,005,404

Synced: 10-22 10:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 08:00) Next (10-22 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_bound

Environmentrange_bound

Participationalt_rotation

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.4971

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 08:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039215

Settled at: 2026-10-22 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)106,344,480.40

OI (USD)$19,660,968

Mark price$0.184880

Funding next0.001161%

Day vol (USD)$19,213,143

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 08:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.569%

Change 4h +1.510%

Change 24h +0.922%

Z-score 7d -0.43

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000585%

Avg 24h 0.001146%

Percentile 7d 24.4%

Percentile 30d 26.3%

Δ 4h -0.000665%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +3.007%

Divergence 0.74

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.033

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.52

OI momentum 4h

+3.794%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-22 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383537	fresh	13h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 37%	early 28b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.38	86%	↑ +0.28	value	-2.33	—	#186778	0.58	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.48	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:17	↗
4h #388491	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.515	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b -0.7ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.65	49%	↓ -0.27	below_value	-3.91	—	#188827	0.42	bear_high	-1.17%	-0.37	22/10 04:00 upd 22/10 08:12	↗
1h anchor #388958	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.357	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.83	56%	↓ -0.16	below_value	-3.58	—	#189058	0.68	bear_medium	-1.20%	-0.17	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 09:08	↗
15m #388880	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.640	normal	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 3b 1.5ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	2.14	84%	↓ -0.20	below_value	-3.91	—	#188827	0.63	bear_low	-1.47%	+0.27	22/10 08:45 upd 22/10 09:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218311	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	0s	0.513	0.451	31/76	2026-10-22 09:00	2026-10-22 09:35
4h #218235	fresh	2026-10-22 04:00	1h	0.455	0.440	60/76	2026-10-22 08:00	2026-10-22 08:37
1d #217108	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	13h	0.394	0.512	44/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #188981	fresh	2026-10-22 08:45	0s	$0.195698	$0.198500	$0.187461	between	-9.21	9.18
7d #189058	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	0s	$0.195604	$0.199908	$0.188170	between	-3.58	3.83
30d #188904	fresh	2026-10-22 04:00	1h	$0.202051	$0.219771	$0.177242	value	-2.74	5.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.178120 → $0.179649	0.85%	1.27	0.54	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004971	+4.13
above	$0.182536 → $0.183555	0.56%	0.85	0.56	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001065	+0.89
below	$0.185932 → $0.188140	1.18%	1.84	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001312	-1.09

Prix observé : $0.184620. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.172520 → $0.178780	3.56%	2.04	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005840	+1.91
below	$0.202255 → $0.203820	0.77%	0.51	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.017635	-5.75

Prix observé : $0.184620. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.173304	7.06%	1.66	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011316	+1.59
below	$0.244186 → $0.256000	4.72%	1.66	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.059566	-8.37

Prix observé : $0.184620. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T12:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T12:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}