Observation #48968

← Research Observations / #48968

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.007731

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,749,647

Synced: 10-22 15:01 +1h

← Prev (10-22 13:00) Next (10-22 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0242

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 13:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00027932

Settled at: 2026-10-22 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)931,698,512.00

OI (USD)$7,220,663

Mark price$0.007750

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,817,245

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 13:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -2.766%

Change 4h -3.254%

Change 24h -8.391%

Z-score 7d -2.18 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 92.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.113%

Divergence 0.25

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.911

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.09

OI momentum 4h

-3.570%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+79 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 161 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383717	fresh	18h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.662	compression	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 28b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.59	50%	↓ -0.41	above_value	+5.78	—	#186820	0.73	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.89	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:24	↗
4h #390216	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.645	normal	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early 5b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.27	10%	↓ -0.22	above_value	+1.86	—	#189551	0.65	bear_high	-1.19%	+0.32	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #391018	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.372	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 45%	late 1b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.39	27%	↓ -0.41	above_value	+1.82	—	#189930	0.73	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.65%	-0.21	22/10 13:00 upd 22/10 14:11	↗
15m #390940	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.410	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	52%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 4b -0.5ATR	—	near -1.3ATR	0.34	38%	↑ +0.27	above_value	+1.60	—	#189778	0.48	bear_low	-1.53%	-0.05	22/10 13:45 upd 22/10 14:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #218800	fresh	2026-10-22 13:00	0s	0.489	0.397	30/75	2026-10-22 14:00
4h #218651	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	2h	0.507	0.501	28/74	2026-10-22 12:00
1d #217150	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	18h	0.365	0.405	52/73	2026-10-21 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #189854	fresh	2026-10-22 13:45	0s	$0.008241	$0.008402	$0.007843	hvn	-11.62	12.73
7d #189930	fresh	2026-10-22 13:00	0s	$0.007564	$0.007840	$0.007390	hvn	1.82	4.91
30d #189626	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	2h	$0.009748	$0.010967	$0.008598	between	-10.16	11.81

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.007902 → $0.007955	0.66%	1.20	0.48	reversion	—	↓ $0.000171	-3.87
below	$0.008014 → $0.008093	0.98%	1.80	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000283	-6.44
below	$0.008363 → $0.008402	0.47%	0.90	0.43	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.000632	-14.56

Prix observé : $0.007731. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007244	2.67%	2.09	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000487	+5.32
above	$0.007278 → $0.007334	0.77%	0.61	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000397	+4.35
below	$0.008335 → $0.008402	0.81%	0.74	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000604	-6.64

Prix observé : $0.007731. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007053 → $0.007362	4.29%	1.54	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000369	+1.84
below	$0.008735 → $0.008907	1.95%	0.86	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001004	-4.99
below	$0.010624 → $0.011173	5.04%	2.74	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002893	-14.43

Prix observé : $0.007731. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}