Observation #48970

← Research Observations / #48970

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.361190

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,855,575

Synced: 10-22 15:01 +1h

← Prev (10-22 13:00) Next (10-22 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.0242

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 13:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00001481

Settled at: 2026-10-22 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)13,959,047.20

OI (USD)$5,049,965

Mark price$0.361770

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,951,092

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 13:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -2.257%

Change 4h +1.638%

Change 24h -2.759%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 74.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.427%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.676

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+3.222%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+764 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 130 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #386169	fresh	18h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.534	compression	bear_high	46%	noisy_chop 36%	late 47b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.50	24%	↑ +0.22	above_value	+4.64	—	#187878	0.72	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.90	20/10 20:00 upd 22/10 02:20	↗
4h #390222	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.653	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 43%	early 11b -0.7ATR	—	—	1.20	67%	↓ -0.25	above_value	+1.31	—	#189553	0.66	bear_high	-1.19%	+0.17	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:16	↗
1h anchor #391020	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.414	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 50%	mid 1b -1.5ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.1ATR	1.11	74%	↑ +0.21	above_value	-0.21	—	#189932	0.65	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.65%	-0.27	22/10 13:00 upd 22/10 14:12	↗
15m #390942	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.393	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 40%	early 4b -0.3ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	0.28	68%	↑ +0.29	above_value	-0.62	—	#189780	0.38	bear_low	-1.53%	-0.02	22/10 13:45 upd 22/10 14:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218802	fresh	2026-10-22 13:00	0s	0.536	0.379	14/75	2026-10-22 14:00	2026-10-22 14:36
4h #218653	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	2h	0.520	0.481	24/74	2026-10-22 12:00	2026-10-22 12:38
1d	stale	2026-10-19 20:00	1.8d	—	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #189856	fresh	2026-10-22 13:45	0s	$0.360356	$0.374976	$0.354680	hvn	0.33	8.08
7d #189932	fresh	2026-10-22 13:00	0s	$0.362248	$0.373956	$0.352718	hvn	-0.21	4.17
30d #189628	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	2h	$0.367279	$0.444342	$0.338705	hvn	-0.62	8.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.381856 → $0.387016	1.34%	2.05	0.90	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.020666	-8.23
below	$0.390800 → $0.393552	0.70%	1.10	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029610	-11.79
below	$0.394240 → $0.395960	0.44%	0.68	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.033050	-13.15

Prix observé : $0.361190. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.336380 → $0.342915	1.92%	1.28	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.018275	+3.58
below	$0.393561 → $0.401730	2.05%	1.60	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.032371	-6.35

Prix observé : $0.361190. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.333510 → $0.340437	2.06%	0.59	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.020753	+1.76
below	$0.468587 → $0.475514	1.47%	0.59	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.107397	-9.12
below	$0.503221 → $0.541320	7.29%	3.24	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.142031	-12.07

Prix observé : $0.361190. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}