Observation #49001

← Research Observations / #49001

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.180440

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $12,983,734

Synced: 10-22 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 14:00) Next (10-22 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1333

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 14:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00021621

Settled at: 2026-10-22 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)108,076,542.20

OI (USD)$19,477,554

Mark price$0.180220

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$13,480,414

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.803%

Change 4h +1.593%

Change 24h -3.132%

Z-score 7d 0.55

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001146%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 98.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.999%

Divergence -1.34

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.425

OI / Vol z-7d

0.25

OI momentum 4h

-0.913%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+9 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383537	fresh	19h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 37%	early 28b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.38	86%	↑ +0.28	value	-2.33	—	#186778	0.58	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.48	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:17	↗
4h #390131	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.481	normal	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	early 15b -0.7ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.60	42%	↓ -0.27	below_value	-3.98	—	#189510	0.42	bear_high	-1.19%	-0.56	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:12	↗
1h anchor #391366	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.469	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 5b -1.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.03	60%	↓ -0.41	below_value	-5.03	—	#190036	0.67	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.40%	-0.21	22/10 14:00 upd 22/10 15:08	↗
15m #391289	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.425	normal	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 44%	early 6b -1.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.36	16%	↔ +0.05	below_value	-4.61	—	#189888	0.52	bear_low	-1.20%	-0.22	22/10 14:45 upd 22/10 15:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218833	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	0.406	0.308	71/75	2026-10-22 15:00	2026-10-22 15:35
4h #218610	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	0.411	0.419	62/74	2026-10-22 12:00	2026-10-22 12:37
1d #217108	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	19h	0.394	0.512	44/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #189964	fresh	2026-10-22 14:45	0s	$0.188943	$0.196879	$0.182128	between	-6.05	10.50
7d #190036	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	$0.195724	$0.200195	$0.188112	between	-5.03	3.97
30d #189585	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	$0.202051	$0.219771	$0.177242	value	-2.63	6.05

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.186137 → $0.187259	0.60%	0.80	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.005697	-4.06
below	$0.193191 → $0.194795	0.83%	1.14	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012751	-9.07
below	$0.195757 → $0.197360	0.82%	1.14	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.015317	-10.91

Prix observé : $0.180440. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.174820 → $0.178928	2.32%	1.35	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001512	+0.50
below	$0.201887 → $0.203820	0.95%	0.64	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.021447	-7.05

Prix observé : $0.180440. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.173304	7.06%	1.68	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007136	+1.01
below	$0.244186 → $0.256000	4.72%	1.68	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.063746	-9.06

Prix observé : $0.180440. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}