Observation #49012

← Research Observations / #49012

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$146.08

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,033,099

Synced: 10-22 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 14:00) Next (10-22 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1333

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 14:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00031552

Settled at: 2026-10-22 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)399,262.02

OI (USD)$58,280,277

Mark price$145.97

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$9,992,223

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.155%

Change 4h +2.686%

Change 24h +3.388%

Z-score 7d -0.39

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001259%

Avg 24h 0.000755%

Percentile 7d 8.3%

Percentile 30d 2.6%

Δ 4h -0.002509%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.649%

Divergence -4.03 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.752

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.63

OI momentum 4h

+2.430%

Funding +ratio 24h

84.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-22 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383592	fresh	19h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.66	47%	↓ -0.49	value	+3.46	—	#186789	0.69	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.73	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:19	↗
4h #390153	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.476	normal	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 5b -1.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	2.25	79%	↔ +0.11	value	-0.77	—	#189521	0.66	bear_high	-1.19%	-0.28	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:13	↗
1h anchor #391377	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.574	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 4b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.41	37%	↑ +0.66	below_value	-1.35	—	#190047	0.79	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.40%	-0.27	22/10 14:00 upd 22/10 15:09	↗
15m #391300	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.541	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 43%	early 7b -0.2ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	0.21	51%	↓ -0.47	below_value	-1.74	—	#189899	0.72	bear_low	-1.20%	-0.10	22/10 14:45 upd 22/10 15:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218844	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	0.474	0.356	46/75	2026-10-22 15:00	2026-10-22 15:35
4h #218621	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	0.556	0.399	11/74	2026-10-22 12:00	2026-10-22 12:37
1d #217119	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	19h	0.379	0.454	48/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #189975	fresh	2026-10-22 14:45	0s	$147.21	$149.99	$144.67	value	-1.15	5.41
7d #190047	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	$148.62	$157.01	$146.55	between	-1.35	5.57
30d #189596	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	$166.37	$174.08	$146.33	value	-4.68	6.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$152.82 → $154.95	1.38%	2.16	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $6.7401	-6.86
below	$156.13 → $156.83	0.45%	0.72	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $10.0464	-10.23

Prix observé : $146.08. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$144.20 → $145.46	0.87%	0.67	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.617083	+0.33
below	$161.70 → $165.85	2.53%	2.21	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $15.6204	-8.31

Prix observé : $146.08. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$134.88 → $145.01	7.24%	2.55	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.0704	+0.27
below	$185.09 → $187.73	1.42%	0.67	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $39.0075	-9.82

Prix observé : $146.08. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}