Observation #49040

← Research Observations / #49040

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.175970

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,451,286

Synced: 10-22 16:01 +1h

← Prev (10-22 14:00) Next (10-22 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationbtc_defensive

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.1333

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 14:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00026952

Settled at: 2026-10-22 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)75,100,442.00

OI (USD)$13,206,413

Mark price$0.175850

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,452,219

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 14:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.273%

Change 4h -1.124%

Change 24h -7.631%

Z-score 7d 0.34

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000759%

Avg 24h 0.001049%

Percentile 7d 26.8%

Percentile 30d 9.7%

Δ 4h -0.000491%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.610%

Divergence 0.05

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.312

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.00

OI momentum 4h

-2.315%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+12 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 162 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383711	fresh	19h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.399	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 22b -0.8ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.78	62%	↓ -0.28	above_value	+3.60	—	#186818	0.58	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.93	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:24	↗
4h #390209	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.620	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b -1.2ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.95	48%	↑ +0.15	below_value	-3.98	—	#189549	0.74	bear_high	-1.19%	-0.00	22/10 08:00 upd 22/10 12:15	↗
1h anchor #391406	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.531	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	late 24b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.38	52%	↓ -0.40	below_value	-4.28	—	#190073	0.81	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.40%	-0.10	22/10 14:00 upd 22/10 15:10	↗
15m #391329	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.414	expansion_after_compression	bear_low	49%	noisy_chop 44%	early 8b -0.3ATR	—	near -0.8ATR	0.39	40%	↔ -0.00	below_value	-4.60	—	#189928	0.71	bear_low	-1.20%	-0.07	22/10 14:45 upd 22/10 15:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #218873	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	0.514	0.406	21/75	2026-10-22 15:00
4h #218649	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	0.500	0.412	30/74	2026-10-22 12:00
1d #217148	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	19h	0.342	0.296	60/73	2026-10-21 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190001	fresh	2026-10-22 14:45	0s	$0.180140	$0.181199	$0.176258	between	-5.97	7.07
7d #190073	fresh	2026-10-22 14:00	0s	$0.182012	$0.184414	$0.176624	hvn	-4.28	5.51
30d #189624	fresh	2026-10-22 08:00	3h	$0.217852	$0.235657	$0.202787	between	-13.76	10.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.182510 → $0.183619	0.61%	1.59	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.006540	-9.36
below	$0.184426 → $0.186140	0.93%	2.45	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008456	-12.10

Prix observé : $0.175970. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.171560 → $0.174157	1.50%	1.84	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001813	+1.28
below	$0.186231 → $0.187140	0.49%	0.64	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010261	-7.26

Prix observé : $0.175970. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.171560 → $0.175395	2.21%	1.28	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000575	+0.19
below	$0.185256 → $0.190734	2.91%	1.83	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.009286	-3.10
below	$0.204978 → $0.207169	1.06%	0.73	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.029008	-9.69
below	$0.234013 → $0.237300	1.39%	1.10	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.058043	-19.40

Prix observé : $0.175970. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}