Observation #49120

← Research Observations / #49120

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.7391

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,038,786

Synced: 10-22 17:01 +1h

← Prev (10-22 15:00) Next (10-22 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.303

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 15:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000498%

Annualized-4.36%

Premium-0.00053986

Settled at: 2026-10-22 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,035,716.80

OI (USD)$8,762,147

Mark price$1.7400

Funding next-0.000538%

Day vol (USD)$2,010,864

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 15:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.381%

Change 4h -0.247%

Change 24h -2.097%

Z-score 7d -0.44

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.004200%

Avg 24h -0.001200%

Percentile 7d 6.5%

Percentile 30d 6.0%

Δ 4h +0.000109%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.178%

Divergence 0.01

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.265

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.06

OI momentum 4h

-1.389%

Funding +ratio 24h

44.0%

Sign streak

-8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 155 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383726	fresh	20h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.457	compression	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 53b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.15	55%	↓ -0.23	above_value	+1.77	—	#186823	0.48	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.76	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:24	↗
4h #391847	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.332	expansion	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 6b -0.9ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.42	16%	↔ +0.14	value	-3.00	inside	#190227	0.60	bear_high	-1.38%	+0.32	22/10 12:00 upd 22/10 16:16	↗
1h anchor #391840	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.396	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 3b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.44	37%	↓ -0.68	value	-3.00	—	#190227	0.69	bear_medium	-1.22%	-0.28	22/10 15:00 upd 22/10 16:16	↗
15m #391711	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.376	compression	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 38%	early 12b -0.3ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.22	20%	↓ -0.69	value	-2.63	—	#190079	0.52	bear_low	-0.96%	-0.01	22/10 15:45 upd 22/10 16:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218952	fresh	2026-10-22 15:00	0s	0.459	0.387	46/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:36
4h #219024	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	0s	0.487	0.443	38/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:38
1d #217153	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	20h	0.340	0.340	63/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190153	fresh	2026-10-22 15:45	0s	$1.8440	$1.8627	$1.7610	between	-11.05	10.72
7d #190227	fresh	2026-10-22 15:00	0s	$1.7986	$1.8129	$1.6860	value	-3.00	6.39
30d #190301	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	0s	$2.0524	$2.1544	$1.8615	lvn LVN	-7.67	7.13

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7172 → $1.7262	0.52%	0.95	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012887	+1.36
below	$1.7970 → $1.8022	0.29%	0.54	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.057925	-6.10
below	$1.8189 → $1.8344	0.85%	1.63	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $0.079812	-8.41
below	$1.8627 → $1.8717	0.48%	0.95	0.94	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.123587	-13.02

Prix observé : $1.7391. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6576 → $1.6751	1.05%	0.88	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.064007	+3.22
below	$1.8150 → $1.8391	1.32%	1.21	0.59	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.075940	-3.83
below	$1.8959 → $1.9200	1.26%	1.21	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.156847	-7.90

Prix observé : $1.7391. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.6576 → $1.6942	2.18%	0.89	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.044896	+1.09
above	$1.6994 → $1.7204	1.22%	0.51	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.018750	+0.46
inside	$1.7308 → $1.7779	2.68%	1.15	0.50	continuation_down	—	inside	+0.00
below	$2.2485 → $2.2851	1.61%	0.89	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.509396	-12.41

Prix observé : $1.7391. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}