Observation #49126

← Research Observations / #49126

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.076158

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $8,299,252

Synced: 10-22 17:02 +1h

← Prev (10-22 15:00) Next (10-22 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.303

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 15:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002776

Settled at: 2026-10-22 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)730,668,884.00

OI (USD)$55,705,465

Mark price$0.076239

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$8,384,128

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 15:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.384%

Change 4h -0.650%

Change 24h -4.384%

Z-score 7d -0.60

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001272%

Percentile 7d 98.2% top

Percentile 30d 87.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.767%

Divergence -0.38

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.469

OI / Vol z-7d

0.28

OI momentum 4h

-0.397%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+96 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383742	fresh	20h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.394	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 40%	late 26b -0.4ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.72	56%	↓ -0.28	value	+3.64	—	#186828	0.54	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.90	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:25	↗
4h #391865	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.513	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 6b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.91	29%	↑ +0.28	value	-2.01	inside	#190233	0.57	bear_high	-1.38%	-0.04	22/10 12:00 upd 22/10 16:17	↗
1h anchor #391858	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	0.685	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 48%	late 9b -2.4ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.74	49%	↔ +0.08	value	-2.01	—	#190233	0.59	bear_medium	-1.22%	-0.41	22/10 15:00 upd 22/10 16:17	↗
15m #391717	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.492	normal	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early 10b -1.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.29	22%	↓ -0.18	above_value	-1.95	—	#190085	0.61	bear_low	-0.96%	-0.20	22/10 15:45 upd 22/10 16:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #218957	fresh	2026-10-22 15:00	0s	0.452	0.328	50/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:36
4h #219029	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	0s	0.441	0.339	53/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:38
1d #217157	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	20h	0.337	0.372	65/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190159	fresh	2026-10-22 15:45	0s	$0.079321	$0.082551	$0.077794	between	-5.90	8.87
7d #190233	fresh	2026-10-22 15:00	0s	$0.078308	$0.082819	$0.074969	value	-2.01	7.35
30d #190307	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	0s	$0.096445	$0.118707	$0.087848	lvn LVN	-8.93	13.43

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.075522 → $0.075877	0.47%	0.66	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000281	+0.52
below	$0.076871 → $0.077226	0.46%	0.66	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.000713	-1.33
below	$0.080989 → $0.081770	0.96%	1.46	0.81	reversion	✓	↓ $0.004831	-9.01
below	$0.083758 → $0.084042	0.34%	0.53	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007600	-14.18

Prix observé : $0.076158. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.072860 → $0.074969	2.85%	1.97	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001189	+1.11
below	$0.086217 → $0.086920	0.81%	0.66	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.010059	-9.42

Prix observé : $0.076158. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.072860 → $0.076828	5.30%	1.73	0.71	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.117825 → $0.125760	6.52%	3.45	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.041667	-18.13

Prix observé : $0.076158. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}