Observation #49218

← Research Observations / #49218

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,474.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,580,402,450

Synced: 10-22 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 17:00) Next (10-22 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.3396

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 17:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00004875

Settled at: 2026-10-22 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)42,852.42

OI (USD)$3,490,543,503

Mark price$81,455.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,596,110,013

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.379%

Change 4h +1.232%

Change 24h +6.314%

Z-score 7d -0.50

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000950%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 99.9%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.335%

Divergence -0.07

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.989

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.80

OI momentum 4h

-0.702%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+21 crowded

Time: 2026-10-22 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383502	fresh	22h	↑ up	pullback	bull_trend	strong	grind	0.635	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 34%	early 30b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.97	50%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+6.10	—	#186771	—	—	—	—	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:15	↗
4h #391735	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.673	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 6b -1.2ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	1.30	80%	↑ +0.37	above_value	-0.51	—	#190029	—	—	—	—	22/10 12:00 upd 22/10 16:05	↗
1h anchor #392576	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.368	normal	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 5b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.45	47%	↓ -0.22	value	-0.80	—	#190397	—	—	—	—	22/10 17:00 upd 22/10 18:05	↗
15m #392500	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.548	compression	bear_low	47%	noisy_chop 42%	early 4b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	0.45	26%	↓ -0.49	value	-0.80	—	#190397	—	—	—	—	22/10 17:45 upd 22/10 18:00	↗
5m #392499	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.788	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 42%	early 7b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.10	1%	↔ +0.06	value	-0.80	—	#190397	—	—	—	—	22/10 17:55 upd 22/10 18:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219123	fresh	2026-10-22 17:00	0s	0.512	0.450	22/74	2026-10-22 18:00	2026-10-22 18:35
4h #218973	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	2h	0.573	0.482	13/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:37
1d #217101	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	22h	0.522	0.567	16/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190472	fresh	2026-10-22 17:45	0s	$81,818.01	$82,820.50	$80,911.00	value	-2.04	11.29
7d #190547	fresh	2026-10-22 17:00	0s	$81,607.88	$82,747.00	$80,994.50	hvn	-0.32	4.20
30d #190249	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	2h	$83,500.83	$84,735.99	$81,505.57	between	-2.51	3.78

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,488.83 → $84,029.85	0.65%	3.20	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,014.83	-11.92
below	$84,348.10 → $84,730.00	0.45%	2.26	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,874.10	-17.00

Prix observé : $81,474.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$83,483.05 → $84,289.20	0.96%	1.93	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,009.05	-4.81

Prix observé : $81,474.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,808.81	1.34%	1.26	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $665.19	+0.78
below	$86,509.56 → $87,333.00	0.95%	0.96	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5,035.56	-5.88

Prix observé : $81,474.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	18:05	18:20	-0.17%	-0.34×	+0.04×	-0.35×	10m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.17%	19.70%	0.20%	$8.04M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	18:05	19:05	-0.19%	-0.38×	+0.04×	-0.54×	10m	40m	High first	0.46	0.00%	-0.19%	16.88%	0.29%	$82.25M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	18:05	22:05	-0.29%	-0.59×	+0.65×	-0.97×	3h45m	2h25m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	-0.29%	28.65%	0.81%	$397.11M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	18:05	06:05	+0.15%	+0.31×	+1.34×	-0.97×	5h50m	2h25m	Low first	0.02	0.00%	+0.15%	26.40%	1.15%	$817.64M	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	18:05	18:05	-0.12%	-0.24×	+1.43×	-0.98×	16h	16h20m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.12%	30.91%	1.20%	$1.92B	22:30 / —	— / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}