Observation #49236

← Research Observations / #49236

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$147.25

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,959,770

Synced: 10-22 19:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-22 17:00) Next (10-22 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.3396

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 17:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000788%

Annualized-6.90%

Premium-0.00056305

Settled at: 2026-10-22 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)398,624.56

OI (USD)$58,665,576

Mark price$147.17

Funding next-0.000826%

Day vol (USD)$10,047,622

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.078%

Change 4h -0.147%

Change 24h +2.292%

Z-score 7d -0.19

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001574%

Avg 24h 0.000632%

Percentile 7d 4.8% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.4%

Δ 4h +0.000015%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.314%

Divergence 1.10

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.892

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.60

OI momentum 4h

-3.019%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-22 17:00:00 OI observed: 16:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 17:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383592	fresh	22h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.681	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 36%	early 19b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.66	47%	↓ -0.49	value	+3.46	—	#186789	0.69	bull_high	+8.71%	-0.73	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:19	↗
4h #391771	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.475	normal	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 6b -1.1ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	1.27	60%	↔ +0.07	above_value	-0.96	—	#190193	0.66	bear_high	-1.38%	-0.14	22/10 12:00 upd 22/10 16:13	↗
1h anchor #392594	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.470	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.59	58%	↑ +0.28	above_value	-0.46	—	#190565	0.79	bear_medium	-1.21%	-0.13	22/10 17:00 upd 22/10 18:10	↗
15m #392518	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.341	compression	bear_medium	63%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 19b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.13	6%	↓ -0.56	below_value	-1.24	—	#190415	0.72	bear_low	-0.85%	+0.07	22/10 17:45 upd 22/10 18:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219141	fresh	2026-10-22 17:00	0s	0.498	0.424	28/74	2026-10-22 18:00	2026-10-22 18:35
4h #218991	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	2h	0.509	0.404	29/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:37
1d #217119	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	22h	0.379	0.454	48/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190490	fresh	2026-10-22 17:45	0s	$146.99	$148.97	$144.81	hvn	0.32	5.09
7d #190565	fresh	2026-10-22 17:00	0s	$148.08	$156.47	$146.37	hvn	-0.46	5.55
30d #190267	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	2h	$166.37	$174.08	$146.33	between	-5.16	6.90

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$152.82 → $154.95	1.38%	2.61	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $5.5704	-6.82

Prix observé : $147.25. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$144.20 → $145.46	0.87%	0.69	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1.7871	+0.98
below	$161.70 → $165.85	2.53%	2.28	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $14.4504	-7.94

Prix observé : $147.25. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$134.88 → $145.01	7.24%	2.52	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.2404	+0.56
below	$185.09 → $187.73	1.42%	0.66	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $37.8375	-9.41

Prix observé : $147.25. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}