Observation #49288

← Research Observations / #49288

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-22 18:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

17:00–18:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

18:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

19:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.247650

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,901,134

Synced: 10-22 19:02 +1h

← Prev (10-22 17:00) Next (10-22 19:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasrange

Phaserange_breakdown_risk

Environmentrange_with_pressure

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Drange

Breadth score0.3396

evaluated_at: 2026-10-22 17:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00001678

Settled at: 2026-10-22 18:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)78,340,250.00

OI (USD)$19,361,009

Mark price$0.247140

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,941,911

Snapshot at: 2026-10-22 17:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #383785	fresh	22h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 44%	—	—	—	0.31	2%	↓ -0.56	above_value	-0.44	inside	#186843	—	bull_high	+8.71%	-1.00	20/10 20:00 upd 21/10 20:27	↗
4h #391906	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.765	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	late 6b -1.9ATR	near -1.0ATR	—	1.31	23%	↑ +0.15	below_value	-1.47	inside	#190247	0.34	bear_high	-1.38%	-0.22	22/10 12:00 upd 22/10 16:19	↗
1h anchor #392649	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.529	compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 48%	late 27b -2.5ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	0.29	11%	↔ -0.09	below_value	-2.15	inside	#190620	0.50	bear_medium	-1.21%	-0.74	22/10 17:00 upd 22/10 18:12	↗
15m #392573	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.506	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.04	1%	↓ -0.27	below_value	-2.26	—	#190470	0.60	bear_low	-0.85%	-0.24	22/10 17:45 upd 22/10 18:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #219195	fresh	2026-10-22 17:00	0s	0.386	0.179	72/74	2026-10-22 18:00	2026-10-22 18:37
4h #219043	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	2h	0.264	0.150	73/74	2026-10-22 16:00	2026-10-22 16:39
1d #217172	fresh	2026-10-20 20:00	22h	0.276	0.283	72/73	2026-10-21 20:00	2026-10-21 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #190545	fresh	2026-10-22 17:45	0s	$0.256887	$0.269822	$0.249922	between	-4.29	9.24
7d #190620	fresh	2026-10-22 17:00	0s	$0.258345	$0.293138	$0.249977	between	-2.15	8.42
30d #190321	fresh	2026-10-22 12:00	2h	$0.535405	$0.740760	$0.359090	between	-22.63	30.21

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.272210 → $0.273802	0.58%	0.74	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.024560	-11.41
below	$0.276190 → $0.284946	3.12%	4.07	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.028540	-13.26
below	$0.290120 → $0.292110	0.68%	0.92	0.89	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.042470	-19.73

Prix observé : $0.247650. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.295780 → $0.302827	2.35%	1.37	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.048130	-9.39
below	$0.304588 → $0.314278	3.13%	1.89	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.056938	-11.11
below	$0.328371 → $0.332775	1.33%	0.86	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.080721	-15.75
below	$0.343345 → $0.348630	1.53%	1.03	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.095695	-18.67

Prix observé : $0.247650. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.437913 → $0.500142	13.27%	4.92	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.190263	-15.06
below	$0.570668 → $0.603857	5.65%	2.63	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.323018	-25.56
below	$0.720017 → $0.740760	2.84%	1.64	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.472367	-37.38

Prix observé : $0.247650. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-22T21:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}